

800 

FNUS54 KMRX 211351

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

951 AM EDT FRI MAR 21 2014



.DISCUSSION...

WARMER TEMPERATURES ON THE WAY TODAY AND SATURDAY AHEAD 

OF A COLD FRONT. EXPECT SCATTERED SHOWERS AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT ON 

SATURDAY. SHOWERS MAY INCREASE IN COVERAGE BY SATURDAY NIGHT INTO 

SUNDAY...FOLLOWED BY COOLER TEMPERATURES. 

 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-221500-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

951 AM EDT FRI MAR 21 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+7)   40-45 (+11)  59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      17-22 (-5)   75-80 (0)    40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     W  7 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G15    LGT/VAR      W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     W 16         

DISPERSION            43 GEN GOOD               51 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER

30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SNOW AND RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN

THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-221500-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

951 AM EDT FRI MAR 21 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+6)   39-44 (+11)  58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      17-22 (-5)   71-76 (-3)   39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W 11 G21     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        S  6         W  7 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     W 20         

DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   53 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO

MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO

LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SNOW AND RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-221500-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

951 AM EDT FRI MAR 21 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+4)   38-43 (+10)  59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      13-18 (-7)   73-78 (-4)   37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W 11 G23     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        S  7 G16     W  7 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.12         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     W 18         

DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   49 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO

MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO

LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.



$$



TNZ087-102-221500-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

951 AM EDT FRI MAR 21 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+5)   38-43 (+9)   65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      16-21 (-6)   89-94 (-1)   37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         S  5         W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.11         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 10                      W 16         

DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   49 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO

UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO

MID 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S

TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S

TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS

IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-221500-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

951 AM EDT FRI MAR 21 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+6)   35-40 (+7)   65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      14-19 (-7)   92-97 (+4)   37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      W  8 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         LGT/VAR      W  8         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.08         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      6600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 10                      W 15         

DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   56 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI             4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER

50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO

MID 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID

50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS

IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-221500-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

951 AM EDT FRI MAR 21 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+8)   38-43 (+9)   62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      17-22 (-5)   83-88 (+1)   38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  7 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.09         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     W 17         

DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   52 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO

MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID

50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN

THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-221500-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

951 AM EDT FRI MAR 21 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+7)   41-46 (+10)  63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      17-22 (-5)   78-83 (-5)   37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        LGT/VAR      W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.13         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     W 15         

DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   49 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO

UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO

MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. WARMER. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-221500-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

951 AM EDT FRI MAR 21 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (+7)   42-47 (+10)  67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      18-23 (-4)   85-90 (-3)   34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         LGT/VAR      W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.15         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  9                      W 15         

DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   47 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. WARMER. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



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