

886 

FNUS54 KMRX 200931

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

531 AM EDT THU MAR 20 2014



...LOW RHS TODAY...



.DISCUSSION...

DRY AIR MOVING IN TODAY WILL LOWER RHS INTO THE UPPER 20S TO 

LOWER 30S THIS AFTERNOON.  THIS COMBINED WITH WINDS NEAR 10KTS

WITH GUSTS NEAR 20 KTS WILL CREATE POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS FIRE 

CONDITIONS.  OTHERWISE...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE 

SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION TODAY PROVIDING PLEASANT WEATHER 

THROUGH THE REST OF THE WORK WEEK.

 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-211045-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

531 AM EDT THU MAR 20 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-4)   30-35 (-4)   62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (-12)  77-82 (+3)   19-24        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8 G16                 S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G17    LGT/VAR      SW  9 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7300                      7200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 23                      SW 17        

DISPERSION            107 VERY GOOD             77 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS OR SLIGHT CHANCE

OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID

40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-211045-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

531 AM EDT THU MAR 20 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-5)   29-34 (-5)   60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (-12)  73-78 (-1)   19-24        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 10 G19                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G19    W  5         SW  8 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7300                      7300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 26                     SW 15        

DISPERSION            100 GOOD                  60 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS OR SLIGHT CHANCE

OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S

TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-211045-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

531 AM EDT THU MAR 20 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-3)   29-34 (-4)   59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (-14)  72-77 (-1)   20-25        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7 G15                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G15    LGT/VAR      SW  9        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7100                      7100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 20                     SW 17        

DISPERSION            66 GOOD                   59 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS OR SLIGHT CHANCE

OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-211045-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

531 AM EDT THU MAR 20 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-1)   32-37 (-3)   63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (-22)  72-77 (-3)   19-24        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      SW  8 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7000                      7000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 18                     SW 14        

DISPERSION            79 GOOD                   61 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-211045-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

531 AM EDT THU MAR 20 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (-2)   31-36 (-3)   63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (-18)  69-74 (-5)   19-24        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        LGT/VAR      SW  7 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7200                      7100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 21                     SW 13        

DISPERSION            85 GOOD                   55 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI             4                         2            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S

TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-211045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

531 AM EDT THU MAR 20 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-5)   30-35 (-6)   65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (-11)  74-79 (0)    17-22        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7 G15                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G15    LGT/VAR      SW  8        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7200                      7000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 21                      SW 15        

DISPERSION            100 GOOD                  73 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS OR SLIGHT CHANCE

OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-211045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

531 AM EDT THU MAR 20 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-1)   31-36 (-4)   65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (-16)  73-78 (-2)   17-22        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      SW  8        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7100                      6900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 17                     SW 16        

DISPERSION            87 GOOD                   81 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER

50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-211045-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

531 AM EDT THU MAR 20 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+2)   33-38 (-3)   66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-23)  72-77 (-4)   18-23        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6900                      6900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 17                     SW 16        

DISPERSION            85 GOOD                   78 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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