

806 

FNUS54 KMRX 191909

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

309 PM EDT WED MAR 19 2014



.DISCUSSION...

CLOUD COVER WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH ACROSS THE AREA LATE 

TONIGHT AS A COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THE REGION. ON THURSDAY

RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE DROPPING AS DRIER AIR MOVES

INTO THE REGION.  WINDS WILL BE GUSTY MID-MORNING...BUT WILL 

SLOWLY SUBSIDE DURING THE AFTERNOON.  HUMIDITY VALUES SHOULD

RECOVER QUICKLY THURSDAY EVENING AS NIGHTTIME COOLING SETS IN.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-202015-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

309 PM EDT WED MAR 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (0)    52-57 (-5)   30-35        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (-5)   25-30 (-20)  80-85        24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G20                  S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G19     NW 10 G21    LGT/VAR      SW  9        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            4 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7900                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 25                      SW 13        

DISPERSION                         125 VERY GOOD             48 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. HIGHS

IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER

50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-202015-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

309 PM EDT WED MAR 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (0)    51-56 (-6)   30-35        60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-3)   25-30 (-19)  72-77        25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 12 G25                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G21     NW 12 G26    NW  6        SW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            4 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7700                      6900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 29                     SW  9        

DISPERSION                         125 VERY GOOD             33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS

IN THE 30S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-202015-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

309 PM EDT WED MAR 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-2)   52-57 (-4)   32-37        59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (+1)   19-24 (-26)  63-68        23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G19                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G23     NW  8 G19    LGT/VAR      SW  9 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            4 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7100                      6800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 22                     SW 10        

DISPERSION                         73 GOOD                   31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. HIGHS

IN THE 30S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-202015-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

309 PM EDT WED MAR 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-1)   56-61 (-1)   34-39        64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-2)   23-28 (-31)  67-72        23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G16                 S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G17     NW  8 G16    LGT/VAR      S  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6600                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 20                     S 12         

DISPERSION                         77 GOOD                   38 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS

NEAR 40. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-202015-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

309 PM EDT WED MAR 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (0)    57-62 (0)    32-37        64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (-4)   19-24 (-31)  71-76        24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G18                 SE  6 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G16     NW  9 G18    LGT/VAR      S  9         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7000                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 23                     S 12         

DISPERSION                         94 GOOD                   40 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          3                         2            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 40.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-202015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

309 PM EDT WED MAR 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (0)    56-61 (-3)   31-36        64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (-5)   22-27 (-20)  71-76        23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G20                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G18     NW  9 G21    LGT/VAR      SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            4 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7300                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 22                      SW  8        

DISPERSION                         112 VERY GOOD             28 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS

IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-202015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

309 PM EDT WED MAR 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-2)   57-62 (0)    34-39        65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-4)   23-28 (-25)  70-75        22-27        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6 G15                 S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G17     NW  7 G16    LGT/VAR      SW  9 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           SPRINKLES    NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6800                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 18                     SW 13        

DISPERSION                         88 GOOD                   45 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

NEAR 40. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS

IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-202015-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

309 PM EDT WED MAR 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-4)   59-64 (+3)   35-40        67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+3)   22-27 (-33)  70-75        19-24        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         NW  6        LGT/VAR      S  9         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 18                     S 13         

DISPERSION                         82 GOOD                   49 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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