

402 

FNUS54 KMRX 190811

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

411 AM EDT WED MAR 19 2014



.DISCUSSION...

 A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION TODAY...PROVIDING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN 

SHOWERS. THEN...SKIES WILL CLEAR AND TEMPERATURES WILL WARM AS WE 

MOVE INTO A QUIET WEATHER PATTERN THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-200915-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

411 AM EDT WED MAR 19 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+5)   31-36 (-3)   51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-8)   93-98 (+1)   27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G18                  W  8 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 12 G20    W  8 G17     W 10 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      7700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 24                     W 26         

DISPERSION            53 GEN GOOD               131 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER

50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER

50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-200915-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

411 AM EDT WED MAR 19 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+5)   31-36 (-2)   49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-6)   89-94 (+2)   28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9                      W 10 G21     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G18    W 10 G19     W 12 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   5 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      7600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 22                     NW 30        

DISPERSION            40 FAIR                   123 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-200915-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

411 AM EDT WED MAR 19 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+6)   30-35 (-6)   51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-11)  89-94 (+6)   27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G19                  NW  6 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 12 G20    W  9 G19     NW  9        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   5 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      7500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 26                     NW 23        

DISPERSION            44 GEN GOOD               86 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 50S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID

50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-200915-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

411 AM EDT WED MAR 19 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+4)   34-39 (-4)   56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-8)   88-93 (+1)   24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G17                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G18    W  6         NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      7300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 24                      NW 21        

DISPERSION            58 GEN GOOD               96 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-200915-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

411 AM EDT WED MAR 19 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+2)   34-39 (-3)   57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-9)   89-94 (+1)   25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G16                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G16    W  6         NW  7 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      7400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 23                     NW 23        

DISPERSION            53 GEN GOOD               100 GOOD     

MAX LVORI             3                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-200915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

411 AM EDT WED MAR 19 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+2)   32-37 (-3)   54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-2)   88-93 (-2)   27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G16                  W  7 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G19    W  8 G16     W 10 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM                                   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      7500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 23                     W 24         

DISPERSION            60 GEN GOOD               128 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID

50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-200915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

411 AM EDT WED MAR 19 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+4)   33-38 (-6)   56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-4)   89-94 (+2)   24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G19                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G20    W  6 G15     W  7 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      7400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 28                     NW 21        

DISPERSION            80 GOOD                   112 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN

THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-200915-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

411 AM EDT WED MAR 19 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+6)   35-40 (-6)   59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-6)   83-88 (-1)   23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G18                  N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G18    LGT/VAR      NW  8 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      7200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 26                     NW 20        

DISPERSION            78 GOOD                   106 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 



$$



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