

685 

FNUS54 KMRX 181900

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

300 PM EDT TUE MAR 18 2014



...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND BREEZY WINDS EXPECTED ON THURSDAY...



.DISCUSSION... 

CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY DECREASE OVER THE AREA 

TONIGHT. A WEAKENING COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE REGION 

WEDNESDAY...PROVIDING A CHANCE OF RAIN. SKIES CLEAR THURSDAY AND 

CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY...WITH WARMING TEMPERATURES FOR THE 

BEGINNING OF SPRING. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-191945-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

300 PM EDT TUE MAR 18 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+4)   53-58 (+2)   31-36        56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+1)   47-52 (-10)  80-85        29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G18                  W 10 G22     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        SW 11 G19    W 11 G20     W 13 G24     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM                                   

PRECIP END                         8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      7000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 24                     W 26         

DISPERSION                         60 GEN GOOD               114 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE 

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-191945-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

300 PM EDT TUE MAR 18 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+3)   53-58 (+3)   30-35        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+5)   45-50 (-10)  80-85        30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      NW 13 G25    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        SW  8 G15    W 12 G23     NW 15 G28    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   12 AM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      6900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     NW 29        

DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   103 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 

TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE 

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-191945-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

300 PM EDT TUE MAR 18 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+2)   56-61 (+6)   30-35        55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-3)   43-48 (-17)  77-82        29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G18                  NW  9 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         SW 11 G19    W 12 G24     NW 11 G21    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         8 PM                      

PRECIP END                         2 PM         12 AM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      6700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 25                     NW 22        

DISPERSION                         47 GEN GOOD               65 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO UPPER 40S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO 

MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE 

30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 

20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 25 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-191945-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

300 PM EDT TUE MAR 18 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+2)   58-63 (+4)   33-38        59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-4)   45-50 (-13)  77-82        25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G16                  N  8 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        SW 10 G17    W  9 G19     NW 10 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 24                      NW 20        

DISPERSION                         59 GEN GOOD               73 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST 

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-191945-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

300 PM EDT TUE MAR 18 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (0)    58-63 (+3)   32-37        58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-4)   45-50 (-14)  74-79        23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7                      NW 10 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        SW  9        W  9 G16     NW 11 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM                                   

PRECIP END                         2 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 21                     NW 22        

DISPERSION                         52 GEN GOOD               80 GOOD      

MAX LVORI                          4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER 

MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-191945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

300 PM EDT TUE MAR 18 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+3)   56-61 (+1)   31-36        57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+3)   45-50 (-6)   79-84        29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6 G16                  W  9 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 11 G19    W 10 G18     W 12 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM                                   

PRECIP END                         8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      6600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 21                     W 23         

DISPERSION                         55 GEN GOOD               104 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-191945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

300 PM EDT TUE MAR 18 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+5)   58-63 (+4)   32-37        58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-5)   44-49 (-10)  78-83        28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G18                  NW  6 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 11 G19    W  9 G17     NW  9 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM                                   

PRECIP END                         8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 28                     NW 21        

DISPERSION                         71 GOOD                   90 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 30.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-191945-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

300 PM EDT TUE MAR 18 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+5)   59-64 (+6)   34-39        61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-6)   44-49 (-12)  77-82        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G17                  N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         SW 10 G18    W  8 G16     NW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 26                     NW 18        

DISPERSION                         71 GOOD                   78 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS NEAR 70. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. 

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



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