

309 

FNUS54 KMRX 171946

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

346 PM EDT MON MAR 17 2014



.DISCUSSION...

 

THE WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE EXIT THE REGION TONIGHT AS HIGH 

PRESSURE SHIFTS EAST. SKIES WILL STAY CLOUDY TONIGHT AND THEN SLOWLY 

CLEAR TUESDAY. MUCH WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL PREVAIL TUESDAY AS 

HIGHS RETURN TO THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL 

PUSH INTO THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY...PROVIDING ANOTHER CHANCE OF 

RAIN. 

 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-182100-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

346 PM EDT MON MAR 17 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-2)   53-58 (+15)  36-41        55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (+1)   47-52 (-27)  91-96        42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  9 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         SE  8 G17    SW 12 G21    

PRECIP TYPE           DRIZZLE      NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  7                     SW 32        

DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   110 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER

70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID

50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-182100-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

346 PM EDT MON MAR 17 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-3)   50-55 (+12)  35-40        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-5)   50-55 (-21)  91-96        44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  8 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  6        SE 10 G21    SW 10 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           DRIZZLE      NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  8                     SW 24        

DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   72 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-182100-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

346 PM EDT MON MAR 17 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-3)   53-58 (+13)  39-44        57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-4)   45-50 (-26)  82-87        38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 11 G21     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  9 G19     SW 12 G22    

PRECIP TYPE           DRIZZLE      NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  5                     SW 35        

DISPERSION                         4 VERY POOR               104 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO

MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-182100-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

346 PM EDT MON MAR 17 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-4)   54-59 (+9)   42-47        60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-4)   51-56 (-21)  85-90        42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  9 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  7         SE 11 G20    SW 10 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           DRIZZLE      NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       0                                      1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                   8 AM         

PRECIP END            8 AM                                   5 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  8                      SW 31        

DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               114 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-182100-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

346 PM EDT MON MAR 17 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-6)   52-57 (+7)   42-47        60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-5)   54-59 (-21)  84-89        44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  7 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  7         SE 10 G19    SW 10 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           DRIZZLE      NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       0                         1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                      8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            8 AM                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.05         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      6600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  8                     SW 28        

DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               104 VERY GOOD

MAX LVORI                          4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-182100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

346 PM EDT MON MAR 17 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-3)   56-61 (+14)  36-41        58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (0)    42-47 (-28)  92-97        39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  7 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  8 G18    SW 11 G21    

PRECIP TYPE           DRIZZLE      NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  6                     SW 29        

DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    99 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID

30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S

TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-182100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

346 PM EDT MON MAR 17 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+1)   57-62 (+15)  40-45        60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-5)   42-47 (-28)  89-94        35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  9 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         S  7 G15     SW 11 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           DRIZZLE      NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                                   5 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  7                      SW 33        

DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               107 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID

60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID

50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-182100-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

346 PM EDT MON MAR 17 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-1)   57-62 (+11)  43-48        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-8)   43-48 (-22)  86-91        35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  9 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  7         S 10 G18     SW 10 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           DRIZZLE      NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       0                                      1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            8 AM                                   5 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 10                      SW 31        

DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   118 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR 70. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN

THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



