

455 

FNUS54 KMRX 171419 AAB

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1019 AM EDT MON MAR 17 2014



.DISCUSSION...

THE WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE THAT EXTENDS INTO OUR 

AREA WILL GRADUALLY DISSIPATE TODAY AND TONIGHT.  A WEAK COLD FRONT 

WILL PUSH INTO THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY. 

 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-181530-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1019 AM EDT MON MAR 17 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-8)   32-37 (0)    52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (+24)  95-100 (+5)  47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     DRIZZLE      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       3                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  5                     SE  9        

DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               24 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTHEAST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-181530-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1019 AM EDT MON MAR 17 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-7)   33-38 (0)    49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (+12)  90-95 (0)    49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     DRIZZLE      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       3                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  5                     SE  8        

DISPERSION            3 VERY POOR               15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO

THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-181530-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1019 AM EDT MON MAR 17 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-6)   37-42 (0)    53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (+1)   87-92 (-2)   45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         DRIZZLE      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       2                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  7                     SW  8        

DISPERSION            4 VERY POOR               19 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-181530-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1019 AM EDT MON MAR 17 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-6)   39-44 (-1)   55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (-8)   91-96 (-4)   48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         DRIZZLE      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       2                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  5                     SW  9        

DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-181530-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1019 AM EDT MON MAR 17 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-7)   39-44 (-3)   53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-3)   95-100 (+1)  52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         DRIZZLE      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       2                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  3                      SW  7        

DISPERSION            3 VERY POOR               20 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI             6                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-181530-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1019 AM EDT MON MAR 17 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-7)   34-39 (-1)   56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (+6)   93-98 (+4)   42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         DRIZZLE      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       3                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2600                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  3                      SE  8        

DISPERSION            4 VERY POOR               20 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-181530-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1019 AM EDT MON MAR 17 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-6)   36-41 (+2)   58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (-3)   91-96 (-2)   42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     DRIZZLE      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2500                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  8                      S  6         

DISPERSION            8 POOR                    25 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-181530-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1019 AM EDT MON MAR 17 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (-6)   39-44 (+1)   59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (-11)  89-94 (-5)   41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8         

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         DRIZZLE      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2700                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  8                      S  9         

DISPERSION            10 POOR                   33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE LOWER TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



