

352 

FNUS54 KMRX 161936

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

336 PM EDT SUN MAR 16 2014



.DISCUSSION...

THE POSSIBILTY OF PRECIPITATION WILL LINGER OVERNIGHT AND 

EARLY TOMORROW AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MIGRATES SLOWLY EASTWARD. LOOK 

FOR DRY CONDITIONS TO RETURN BY MIDDAY ON MONDAY...AND CONTINUE INTO 

THE MIDDLE OF THE WORK WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND TO SEASONAL 

NORMALS BY WEDNESDAY. 

 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-172045-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

336 PM EDT SUN MAR 16 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-4)   41-46 (-5)   31-36        51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+15)  67-72 (+27)  95-100       48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           50           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       7            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.32         0.03         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  9                      SE  9        

DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-172045-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

336 PM EDT SUN MAR 16 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-2)   42-47 (-3)   32-37        47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+14) 66-71 (+15)  95-100       52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       3            1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 PM                      2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.04         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  8                      SE  8        

DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST

EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-172045-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

336 PM EDT SUN MAR 16 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+1)   45-50 (-1)   37-42        50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+18) 66-71 (+1)   85-90        50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 PM                      2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.03         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  9                      SW  8        

DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR               17 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-172045-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

336 PM EDT SUN MAR 16 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+1)   50-55 (-1)   38-43        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+6)  63-68 (-10)  93-98        56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           30           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 PM                      2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.04         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  8                     SW  9        

DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-172045-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

336 PM EDT SUN MAR 16 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+5)   49-54 (-3)   38-43        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  62-67 (-11)  95-100       55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           40           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.04         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  8                      SW  7        

DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               21 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          8                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-172045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

336 PM EDT SUN MAR 16 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (0)    45-50 (-4)   33-38        53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+12) 63-68 (+6)   95-100       47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           50           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       4            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.03         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  8                      SE  8        

DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   17 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-172045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

336 PM EDT SUN MAR 16 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-4)   46-51 (-2)   35-40        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+15) 63-68 (-3)   91-96        49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  8                     S  6         

DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-172045-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

336 PM EDT SUN MAR 16 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-6)   49-54 (-3)   37-42        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+11) 58-63 (-10)  91-96        50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      SE  5 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  5         LGT/VAR      S  8 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 AM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2700                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  9                     S  9         

DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   28 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.

HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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