

653 

FNUS54 KMRX 160739

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

339 AM EDT SUN MAR 16 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TRACK EAST OUT OF THE 

SOUTHERN PLAINS AND WILL PASS BY TO OUR SOUTH TONIGHT AND MONDAY. 

 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-170845-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

339 AM EDT SUN MAR 16 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-14)  33-38 (-4)   40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (+14)  84-89 (+10)  67-72        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  7         E  8 G15     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SLEET/RAIN   SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           60           

PRECIP DURATION       6            5            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.50         0.30         0.11         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 16                      E  8         

DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               9 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-170845-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

339 AM EDT SUN MAR 16 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (-15)  35-40 (-1)   42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+19)  79-84 (+1)   61-66        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 12 G24                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E 12 G27     SE 10 G26    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SLEET/RAIN   SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           60           

PRECIP DURATION       7            4            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.71         0.23         0.15         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 20                     SE  7        

DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               7 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-170845-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

339 AM EDT SUN MAR 16 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-12)  40-45 (+2)   44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (+24)  81-86 (+8)   65-70        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  8 G19                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  9 G22    S  7 G20     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           50           

PRECIP DURATION       8            4            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.94         0.17         0.12         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 17                     N  5         

DISPERSION            11 POOR                   3 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-170845-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

339 AM EDT SUN MAR 16 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-12)  44-49 (+4)   47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (+28)  83-88 (-4)   64-69        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 10 G22                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  9 G19    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           50           

PRECIP DURATION       7            3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         1.01         0.14         0.12         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2800                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 16                     NE  5        

DISPERSION            9 POOR                    3 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-170845-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

339 AM EDT SUN MAR 16 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-12)  46-51 (+8)   46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (+35)  86-91 (-5)   67-72        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 10 G21                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 10 G20    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           60           

PRECIP DURATION       7            4            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         1.05         0.14         0.15         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 15                     SE  3        

DISPERSION            11 POOR                   4 VERY POOR  

MAX LVORI             7                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 40. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-170845-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

339 AM EDT SUN MAR 16 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-14)  38-43 (+1)   45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (+25)  80-85 (+1)   62-67        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  7 G15                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  9 G17     E  6 G17     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           60           

PRECIP DURATION       7            4            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.62         0.24         0.11         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2300                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 15                      E  7         

DISPERSION            10 POOR                   9 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-170845-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

339 AM EDT SUN MAR 16 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-13)  38-43 (-2)   44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (+24)  87-92 (+10)  62-67        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  7         NE  6        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           50           

PRECIP DURATION       7            4            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.75         0.19         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2100                      2300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 14                      NE  8        

DISPERSION            10 POOR                   7 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE

EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-170845-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

339 AM EDT SUN MAR 16 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (-12)  41-46 (-4)   46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (+27)  87-92 (+5)   61-66        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  6                      N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  6         NE  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          70           40           

PRECIP DURATION       7            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.89         0.13         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2300                      2700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 14                     NE  6        

DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               7 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE

EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.

HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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