

793 

FNUS54 KMRX 151922

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

322 PM EDT SAT MAR 15 2014



.DISCUSSION...

CLOUD COVER WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE THIS EVENING...WITH 

RAINFALL SPREADING ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT. THE PRECIPITATION WILL 

PERSIST THROUGH SUNDAY...TAPERING OFF TO SOME LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE 

ON SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING...AND EVENTUALLY COMING TO AN END 

MONDAY NIGHT. 

 



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-162030-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

322 PM EDT SAT MAR 15 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-3)   43-48 (-19)  32-37        42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+11)  52-57 (+32)  95-100       60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      E  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           100          80           50           

PRECIP DURATION       1            7            5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          5 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.72         0.33         0.07         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      2600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 15                     E 13         

DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   6 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID

60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-162030-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

322 PM EDT SAT MAR 15 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-1)   44-49 (-17)  35-40        43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+14)  55-60 (+34)  91-96        59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  8 G15                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  8 G15    SE  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           100          70           50           

PRECIP DURATION       1            7            3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.83         0.15         0.11         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E 14                      E 12         

DISPERSION                         3 VERY POOR               2 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.

LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-162030-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

322 PM EDT SAT MAR 15 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+4)   48-53 (-12)  39-44        44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (+16)  55-60 (+27)  95-100       64-69        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  7 G17                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  7 G17    S  5         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           100          60           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            7            3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          11 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         1.00         0.14         0.08         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 10                     N  8         

DISPERSION                         3 VERY POOR               3 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-162030-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

322 PM EDT SAT MAR 15 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+5)   52-57 (-12)  42-47        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+21) 66-71 (+36)  95-100       65-70        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  8 G17                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  6 G15    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          60           40           

PRECIP DURATION       3            7            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          11 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         1.04         0.11         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2700                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E 13                      N  8         

DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    6 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-162030-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

322 PM EDT SAT MAR 15 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+8)   52-57 (-13)  42-47        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+18) 67-72 (+39)  95-100       66-71        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  8                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          60           50           

PRECIP DURATION       3            7            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          11 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         1.03         0.11         0.07         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2700                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 14                     N  7         

DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               3 VERY POOR  

MAX LVORI                          7                         9            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-162030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

322 PM EDT SAT MAR 15 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+1)   46-51 (-18)  36-41        45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+10)  57-62 (+35)  95-100       62-67        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      E  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           100          70           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            8            3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.85         0.21         0.07         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2700                      2500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E 14                      E 13         

DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               11 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

20S TO UPPER 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-162030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

322 PM EDT SAT MAR 15 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+3)   48-53 (-17)  35-40        45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+11)  59-64 (+33)  95-100       61-66        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E  5                      N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           100          80           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            7            4            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          11 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.96         0.21         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2600                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 15                     NE 12        

DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-162030-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

322 PM EDT SAT MAR 15 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+4)   51-56 (-16)  41-46        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+14)  64-69 (+36)  95-100       58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  8 G16                 N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        LGT/VAR      N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          70           30           

PRECIP DURATION       3            7            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          11 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         1.02         0.11         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2500                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E 15                      NE 12        

DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

MID TO UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE

EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS NEAR 60. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS NEAR 60.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



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