

636 

FNUS54 KMRX 150728

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

328 AM EDT SAT MAR 15 2014



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDING INTO THE REGION WILL RETREAT IN 

ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. TEMPERATURES WILL BE 

A FEW DEGREES ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS FOR TODAY...AND PRECIPITATION 

WILL BE RETURNING BY TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY.

 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-160830-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

328 AM EDT SAT MAR 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+3)   38-43 (-2)   48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (+2)   79-84 (+13)  54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      NE  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      NE  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           100          

PRECIP DURATION                    1            7            

PRECIP BEGIN                       5 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.72         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 14                      E 16         

DISPERSION            48 GEN GOOD               15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER

40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-160830-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

328 AM EDT SAT MAR 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+3)   38-43 (-1)   48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (+8)   83-88 (+20)  58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G17                  SE  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G15     LGT/VAR      E  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           100          

PRECIP DURATION                    1            7            

PRECIP BEGIN                       5 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.83         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      SE 20        

DISPERSION            51 GEN GOOD               16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO

LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-160830-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

328 AM EDT SAT MAR 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+5)   42-47 (+4)   50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (+5)   84-89 (+25)  62-67        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6 G17                  S  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           100          

PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                       11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         1.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  8                     S 16         

DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   4 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER

50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST

EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-160830-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

328 AM EDT SAT MAR 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+5)   45-50 (+6)   53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (+6)   95-100 (+25) 70-75        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           100          

PRECIP DURATION                    3            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                       11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.13         1.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      2400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  6                     SE 18        

DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               5 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER

50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO

MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-160830-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

328 AM EDT SAT MAR 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+5)   45-50 (+9)   53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (+3)   95-100 (+22) 70-75        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      E  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           100          

PRECIP DURATION                    3            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                       11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.13         1.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      2700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  7                      SE 16        

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               5 VERY POOR  

MAX LVORI             4                         7            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST EARLY

IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-160830-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

328 AM EDT SAT MAR 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+3)   40-45 (+1)   51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (+6)   87-92 (+14)  59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      E  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           100          

PRECIP DURATION                    1            7            

PRECIP BEGIN                       5 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.85         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      2500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      E 15         

DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   13 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER

50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-160830-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

328 AM EDT SAT MAR 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+5)   44-49 (+3)   52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (+5)   85-90 (+16)  60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NE  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           100          

PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                       11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.96         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      2500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  6                     E 14         

DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-160830-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

328 AM EDT SAT MAR 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (+4)   47-52 (+5)   55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (+7)   90-95 (+18)  65-70        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   E  8 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NE  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           100          

PRECIP DURATION                    3            7            

PRECIP BEGIN                       11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.18         1.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  2                      SE 17        

DISPERSION            10 POOR                   24 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE

EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.

HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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