

067 

FNUS54 KMRX 141916

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

316 PM EDT FRI MAR 14 2014



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 

WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT EAST TONIGHT IN ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING 

LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. TEMPERATURES WILL BE A FEW DEGREES ABOVE 

SEASONAL NORMALS FOR SATURDAY...WITH PRECIPITATION RETURNING BY 

SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-152030-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

316 PM EDT FRI MAR 14 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+14)  59-64 (+3)   38-43        47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (+13)  33-38 (+12)  92-97        70-75        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      E  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G17    W  6         LGT/VAR      NE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           100          

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            7            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    5 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.53         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 15                      E 17         

DISPERSION                         38 FAIR                   23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-152030-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

316 PM EDT FRI MAR 14 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+14)  58-63 (+5)   38-43        47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (+15)  36-41 (+16)  95-100       66-71        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G18                  SE  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G15    W  7 G16     LGT/VAR      SE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           100          

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            7            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.63         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      SE 14        

DISPERSION                         34 FAIR                   13 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-152030-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

316 PM EDT FRI MAR 14 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+13)  59-64 (+6)   40-45        50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (+9)   34-39 (+12)  92-97        63-68        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G18                  SE  6 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G19    W  5         LGT/VAR      S  6 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           100          

PRECIP DURATION                                 2            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         0.74         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 13                      SE 13        

DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   10 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

NORTHEAST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-152030-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

316 PM EDT FRI MAR 14 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+14)  62-67 (+4)   43-48        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (+8)   36-41 (+12)  95-100       69-74        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      SE  7 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  7 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            80           100          

PRECIP DURATION                                 5            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.12         0.88         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 10                      S 15         

DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER TO MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-152030-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

316 PM EDT FRI MAR 14 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+15)  62-67 (+4)   43-48        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+6)   37-42 (+13)  93-98        69-74        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      SE  6 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  6 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            80           100          

PRECIP DURATION                                 3            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.14         0.99         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 12                      S 14         

DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   29 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          3                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-152030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

316 PM EDT FRI MAR 14 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+14)  61-66 (+3)   40-45        51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (+13)  34-39 (+14)  95-100       63-68        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      E  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           100          

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            7            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.57         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      2600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 13                      E 14         

DISPERSION                         38 FAIR                   14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-152030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

316 PM EDT FRI MAR 14 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+12)  63-68 (+4)   42-47        53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (+10)  33-38 (+11)  88-93        64-69        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G15    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           90           

PRECIP DURATION                                 2            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.06         0.63         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 10                      NE 15        

DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-152030-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

316 PM EDT FRI MAR 14 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+12)  63-68 (+2)   46-51        57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+14)  36-41 (+15)  86-91        66-71        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  7 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            90           90           

PRECIP DURATION                                 5            7            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.21         0.74         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  9                     SE 16        

DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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