

290 

FNUS54 KMRX 140804

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

404 AM EDT FRI MAR 14 2014



...VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AND GUSTY WINDS THIS AFTERNOON...



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 

WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT EAST TODAY IN ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING LOW 

PRESSURE SYSTEM. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TO NEAR SEASONAL NORMALS FOR 

TODAY AND SATURDAY...WITH PRECIPITATION RETURNING BY SATURDAY 

AFTERNOON OR SATURDAY NIGHT.  

 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-150915-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

404 AM EDT FRI MAR 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+21)  37-42 (+16)  57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      23-28 (+2)   79-84 (+17)  40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6 G18                 W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G21    SW  7 G18    W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 26                     W 14         

DISPERSION            100 GOOD                  44 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST LESS THAN 10 MPH

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-150915-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

404 AM EDT FRI MAR 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+19)  37-42 (+17)  56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      24-29 (+4)   75-80 (+19)  40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  8 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G16    SW  7 G15    W  6 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7000                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     W 15         

DISPERSION            62 GOOD                   43 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER

40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-150915-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

404 AM EDT FRI MAR 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+16)  38-43 (+16)  57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (+3)   73-78 (+12)  39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  6 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 12 G22    SW  9 G21    W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7000                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 23                     W 12         

DISPERSION            77 GOOD                   28 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER

40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-150915-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

404 AM EDT FRI MAR 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+14)  37-42 (+15)  61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      23-28 (-1)   84-89 (+12)  42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G21    SW  6 G15    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 23                     W  8         

DISPERSION            89 GOOD                   24 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS NEAR 40. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-150915-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

404 AM EDT FRI MAR 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+15)  35-40 (+16)  61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      24-29 (-1)   89-94 (+12)  42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G19    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6600                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 21                     W  9         

DISPERSION            76 GOOD                   28 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S.

LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-150915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

404 AM EDT FRI MAR 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+19)  36-41 (+15)  59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      21-26 (+1)   83-88 (+17)  40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G19    SW  7        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 22                     W 12         

DISPERSION            86 GOOD                   36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-150915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

404 AM EDT FRI MAR 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+17)  39-44 (+13)  62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      22-27 (0)    78-83 (+9)   38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5 G18                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 12 G22    SW  7 G15    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 28                     W  7         

DISPERSION            110 VERY GOOD             23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN

THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-150915-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

404 AM EDT FRI MAR 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+14)  40-45 (+12)  63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      24-29 (+3)   84-89 (+12)  39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 12 G21    SW  6        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5700                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 26                     SW  7        

DISPERSION            103 VERY GOOD             20 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST UP TO 10 MPH AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN

THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 



$$



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