

896 

FNUS54 KMRX 131936

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

336 PM EDT THU MAR 13 2014



...LOW RH AND WINDS 10-20 MPH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 

WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT EAST ON FRIDAY IN ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING LOW 

PRESSURE SYSTEM. DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FRIDAY...WITH WINDS

INCREASING IN THE AFTERNOON ABOVE 10 MPH. A CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 

WILL RETURN SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  

 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-142045-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

336 PM EDT THU MAR 13 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (+8)   55-60 (+21)  35-40        56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (-13)  22-27 (-3)   77-82        40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G17                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 10 G19    SW  7        W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 30                     W 17         

DISPERSION                         84 GOOD                   32 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS NEAR 40.

LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-142045-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

336 PM EDT THU MAR 13 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (+6)   53-58 (+20)  34-39        55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (-18)  22-27 (-2)   70-75        43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  8        SW  5        W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 23                     W 20         

DISPERSION                         56 GEN GOOD               31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS NEAR 40.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-142045-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

336 PM EDT THU MAR 13 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (+5)   54-59 (+18)  34-39        55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (-13)  18-23 (-7)   73-78        42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G17                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 11 G19    SW  5        SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            40           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 28                     W 16         

DISPERSION                         58 GEN GOOD               25 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S

TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-142045-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

336 PM EDT THU MAR 13 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (0)    58-63 (+15)  36-41        58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-2)   21-26 (-6)   84-89        47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6 G15                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 11        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            40           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 26                     W 13         

DISPERSION                         69 GOOD                   23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN

THE AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER

TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID

50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-142045-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

336 PM EDT THU MAR 13 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (-2)   58-63 (+16)  35-40        58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+2)   19-24 (-8)   81-86        47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 10 G17    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            40           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 24                     W 13         

DISPERSION                         67 GOOD                   24 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          3                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER

TO MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID

50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-142045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

336 PM EDT THU MAR 13 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (+4)   56-61 (+18)  35-40        58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (-5)   23-28 (-1)   76-81        42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6 G16                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G18    SW  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 28                     W 16         

DISPERSION                         84 GOOD                   38 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO

THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-142045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

336 PM EDT THU MAR 13 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (+6)   58-63 (+17)  37-42        58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (-3)   22-27 (-4)   79-84        43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G17                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 10 G19    SW  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            40           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 29                     W 13         

DISPERSION                         94 GOOD                   33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. COLDER. LOWS IN

THE LOWER TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-142045-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

336 PM EDT THU MAR 13 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+5)   60-65 (+14)  39-44        59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (+3)   23-28 (-2)   81-86        46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6 G16                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 10 G18    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            40           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.07         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 28                     W 12         

DISPERSION                         85 GOOD                   27 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. LIGHT

WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN

THE AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 



$$



