

242 

FNUS54 KMRX 121927

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

327 PM EDT WED MAR 12 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION WILL CONTINUE TO BRING IN COLDER AIR...BUT WIND 

WILL BEGIN TO DECREASE...AND SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS WILL TRANSITION  

TO SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.  THE WEATHER SYSTEM WILL EXIT 

THE AREA BY THURSDAY. WE WILL BE IN A DRY WEATHER PATTERN WITH A 

WARMING TREND THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-132030-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

327 PM EDT WED MAR 12 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      16-21 (-28)  32-37 (-24)  23-28        53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-1)   23-28 (-33)  71-76        24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 11 G20                 SW  7 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 17 G30    NW 11 G20    LGT/VAR      SW 10 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            8 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 20                     SW 23        

DISPERSION                         42 GEN GOOD               42 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING

TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-132030-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

327 PM EDT WED MAR 12 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (-24)  33-38 (-26)  23-28        53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (0)    21-26 (-31)  60-65        22-27        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 15 G26                 S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 21 G36    NW 14 G26    LGT/VAR      SW  9        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            8 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 24                     SW 16        

DISPERSION                         35 FAIR                   21 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE

EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-132030-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

327 PM EDT WED MAR 12 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (-26)  34-39 (-24)  24-29        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (0)    21-26 (-30)  66-71        19-24        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 12 G21                 SW  5 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 19 G33    NW 10 G21    LGT/VAR      SW 10 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            8 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 20                     SW 20        

DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   25 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN

THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-132030-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

327 PM EDT WED MAR 12 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-23)  41-46 (-19)  25-30        57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-8)   23-28 (-27)  76-81        24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 11 G19                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 18 G31    NW 10 G19    LGT/VAR      SW  9 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            8 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 18                     SW 18        

DISPERSION                         38 FAIR                   27 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN

THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-132030-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

327 PM EDT WED MAR 12 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-21)  40-45 (-21)  23-28        57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-9)   22-27 (-23)  80-85        23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 13 G23                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 19 G32    NW 12 G22    LGT/VAR      SW  9 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            2 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 21                     SW 15        

DISPERSION                         41 GEN GOOD               19 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI                          2                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN

THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-132030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

327 PM EDT WED MAR 12 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (-24)  36-41 (-25)  25-30        56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (-7)   21-26 (-32)  68-73        23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 11 G20                 S  5 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 17 G30    W 10 G20     LGT/VAR      SW 10 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            8 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 20                     SW 21        

DISPERSION                         46 GEN GOOD               51 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE

EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN

THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-132030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

327 PM EDT WED MAR 12 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (-29)  39-44 (-20)  27-32        58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (0)    23-28 (-31)  72-77        24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G16                 SW  5 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 16 G28    NW  8 G16    LGT/VAR      SW 10 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            8 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     SW 23        

DISPERSION                         45 GEN GOOD               55 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING

TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-132030-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

327 PM EDT WED MAR 12 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-29)  44-49 (-17)  28-33        59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-4)   22-27 (-31)  78-83        24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G17                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 16 G30    NW  8 G16    LGT/VAR      SW  9 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     SW 21        

DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               44 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 60.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



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