

921 

FNUS54 KMRX 121441 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1041 AM EDT WED MAR 12 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TODAY...BRINGING SHOWERS 

AND GUSTY WINDS THROUGH THIS EVENING. HIGHER ELEVATIONS COULD 

SEE SOME LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. DRIER AND COOLER WEATHER IS 

EXPECTED THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-130700-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1041 AM EDT WED MAR 12 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-11)  16-21 (-28)  31-36        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (+11)  83-88 (-1)   23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 12 G27                 NW 11 G21    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 18 G34     NW 16 G29    NW 10 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           50           20           

PRECIP DURATION       7            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.27         0.05         0.01         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 29                     NW 21        

DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   28 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-130700-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1041 AM EDT WED MAR 12 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-9)   16-21 (-26)  31-36        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (+11)  83-88 (-6)   21-26        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 10 G27                 NW 17 G31    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 21 G38     NW 21 G38    NW 14 G26    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           50           20           

PRECIP DURATION       7            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.10         0.01         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 30                      NW 26        

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               27 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-130700-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1041 AM EDT WED MAR 12 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (-5)   19-24 (-26)  35-40        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (+8)   77-82 (-14)  17-22        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 14 G32                 NW 12 G24    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 19 G35     NW 18 G32    NW  9 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           50           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.07         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 31                      NW 22        

DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               17 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-130700-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1041 AM EDT WED MAR 12 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-7)   23-28 (-25)  40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (+12)  80-85 (-14)  18-23        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 12 G25                 NW 12 G21    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 17 G31    NW 16 G28    NW  9 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       5                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 29                      NW 20        

DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   24 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-130700-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1041 AM EDT WED MAR 12 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-7)   23-28 (-23)  40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+12)  75-80 (-21)  17-22        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 11 G24                 NW 14 G27    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 18 G32     NW 18 G32    NW 11 G21    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       5                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 24                      NW 23        

DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   29 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         2            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-130700-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1041 AM EDT WED MAR 12 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-9)   19-24 (-26)  36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (+10)  75-80 (-15)  22-27        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 11 G28                 NW 11 G21    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 20 G35     NW 15 G27    NW 10 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           30           20           

PRECIP DURATION       6            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.03         0.01         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 30                      NW 20        

DISPERSION            63 GOOD                   35 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-130700-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1041 AM EDT WED MAR 12 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-9)   20-25 (-31)  39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (+10)  75-80 (-16)  22-27        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 13 G27                 NW  9 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 17 G30    NW 14 G24    NW  7 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       4                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 29                      NW 17        

DISPERSION            62 GOOD                   29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-130700-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1041 AM EDT WED MAR 12 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (-8)   24-29 (-30)  44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+13)  79-84 (-10)  21-26        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 13 G29                 NW  9 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 17 G31    NW 15 G27    NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       3                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            5 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 29                      NW 17        

DISPERSION            67 GOOD                   28 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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