

701 

FNUS54 KMRX 112125

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN

517 PM EDT TUE MAR 11 2014



.DISCUSSION...

AFTER A WARM AND SUNNY DAY ON TUESDAY...SIGNIFICANT CHANGES ARE IN

STORE FOR THE REGION TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE

AREA ALONG THE GULF COAST WILL SPREAD MOISTURE NORTHWARD AND

INCREASE LIGHT RAIN CHANCES OVERNIGHT. A STRONGER LOW PRESSURE

SYSTEM WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST ON WEDNESDAY AND SEND A STRONG

COLD FRONT RACING ACROSS THE REGION IN THE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL

INCREASE SHARPLY ON WEDNESDAY WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 50 MPH

POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS. WINDS WILL DIMINISH

WEDNESDAY EVENING BUT IT WILL TURN MUCH COLDER. AREAS OF RAIN

WEDNESDAY EVENING WILL TURN TO SNOW WEDNESDAY NIGHT BEFORE ENDING

EARLY THURSDAY. LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY AT

HIGHER ELEVATIONS. IT WILL BE COLD THURSDAY BUT TEMPERATURES WILL

MODERATE SOMEWHAT FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY BEFORE TURNING COOLER AGAIN

EARLY NEXT WEEK.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-122230-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

525 PM EDT TUE MAR 11 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+13)  56-61 (-8)   16-21        31-36        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-1)   38-43 (+4)   65-70        24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 14 G33                 NW 10 G22    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 19 G34     NW 17 G31    W  9 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           90           70           20           

PRECIP DURATION       3            8            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          11 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.21         0.04         0.01         

LAL                   2            2            1            1            

LASI                                                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                                                        

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N/A                       N/A          

DISPERSION                         0 VERY POOR               0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 19 TO 28. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE MID 30S

TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS

AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-122230-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

525 PM EDT TUE MAR 11 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+11)  56-61 (-5)   14-19        30-35        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+11) 37-42 (+5)   71-76        23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 13 G29                 NW 12 G25    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 20 G39     NW 22 G41    NW 11 G25    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           90           70           20           

PRECIP DURATION       3            8            3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          11 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.16         0.05         0.01         

LAL                   2            2            1            1            

LASI                                                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                                                        

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N/A                       N/A          

DISPERSION                         0 VERY POOR               0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 28. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-122230-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

525 PM EDT TUE MAR 11 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+14)  53-58 (-9)   14-19        33-38        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+9)   39-44 (+7)   76-81        25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 14 G31                 NW  8 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        W 18 G33     NW 14 G29    NW  6 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           80           70           0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            8            2                         

PRECIP BEGIN          11 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.15         0.04         0.00         

LAL                   2            2            1            1            

LASI                                                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                                                        

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N/A                       N/A          

DISPERSION                         0 VERY POOR               0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER

30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-122230-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

525 PM EDT TUE MAR 11 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+14)  55-60 (-11)  19-24        39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+10)  41-46 (+7)   63-68        20-25        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 14 G31                 N  9 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         NW 18 G33    NW 14 G29    N  7 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SNOW/RAIN    NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           80           50           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            5            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.12         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   2            2            1            1            

LASI                                                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                                                        

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N/A                       N/A          

DISPERSION                         0 VERY POOR               0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID TO UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-122230-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

525 PM EDT TUE MAR 11 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+15)  55-60 (-11)  19-24        40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+9)   40-45 (+9)   64-69        19-24        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 11 G26                 NW  9 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 17 G30     NW 15 G29    NW  7 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SNOW/RAIN    NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           80           50           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            5            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.12         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   2            2            1            1            

LASI                                                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                                                        

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N/A                       N/A          

DISPERSION                         0 VERY POOR               0 VERY POOR  

MAX LVORI                          7                         2            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-122230-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

525 PM EDT TUE MAR 11 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+11)  59-64 (-6)   18-23        35-40        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+9)   35-40 (+2)   61-66        22-27        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 14 G33                 W  8 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 19 G34     NW 16 G29    W  8 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           90           70           20           

PRECIP DURATION       3            8            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          11 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.16         0.04         0.01         

LAL                   2            2            1            1            

LASI                                                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                                                        

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N/A                       N/A          

DISPERSION                         0 VERY POOR               0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-122230-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

525 PM EDT TUE MAR 11 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+13)  56-61 (-12)  19-24        38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+10)  38-43 (+4)   59-64        21-26        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 12 G29                 NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         NW 17 G31    NW 13 G24    NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SNOW/RAIN    NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           80           70           0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            5            2                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.14         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   2            2            1            1            

LASI                                                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                                                        

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N/A                       N/A          

DISPERSION                         0 VERY POOR               0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-122230-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

525 PM EDT TUE MAR 11 2014 /425 PM CDT TUE MAR 11 2014/



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+14)  57-62 (-12)  22-27        43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+10)  34-39 (-2)   55-60        21-26        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 14 G31                 N  8 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         NW 18 G32    NW 14 G28    NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        RAIN         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           80           40           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            5            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.08         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   2            2            1            1            

LASI                                                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                                                        

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N/A                       N/A          

DISPERSION                         0 VERY POOR               0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

MID 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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