

052 

FNUS54 KMRX 110836

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA

432 AM EDT TUE MAR 11 2014



.DISCUSSION...

ONE MORE FAIR AND DRY DAY BEFORE A STRONG STORM SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS 

THE REGION. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS WITH A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE IN 

AFTER MIDNIGHT TUESDAY AND CONTINUE WEDNESDAY AS A STRONG COLD FRONT 

SWEEPS IN WEDENSDAY AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL DROP 

SHARPLY WITH VERY STRONG WEST WINDS GUSTING TO NEAR 40 MPH IN 

VALLEYS AND OVER 50 MPH IN ELEVATIONS ABOVE 2500 FEET. 



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-120945-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

433 AM EDT TUE MAR 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+3)   44-49 (+9)   56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (+2)   86-91 (-4)   60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     SW 11 G25    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        LGT/VAR      W 18 G29     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           90           

PRECIP DURATION                    5            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.15         0.41         

LAL                   1            2            2            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2900                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      SW 40        

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   54 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

7 TO 18. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 24. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-120945-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

433 AM EDT TUE MAR 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+3)   44-49 (+9)   56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-3)   85-90 (+1)   55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7 G15                  SW  9 G25    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G15     LGT/VAR      W 20 G38     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           80           

PRECIP DURATION                    5            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.13         0.33         

LAL                   1            2            2            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 20                      W 39         

DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WINDY. SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS 8 TO 20.

NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 30 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 25. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-120945-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

433 AM EDT TUE MAR 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+4)   45-50 (+9)   55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      24-29 (-13)  86-91 (+4)   55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      SW 13 G29    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        SW  6        W 19 G33     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           80           

PRECIP DURATION                    5            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.18         0.34         

LAL                   1            2            2            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 21                      W 40         

DISPERSION            9 POOR                    28 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

5 TO 20. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS 17 TO 26. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-120945-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

433 AM EDT TUE MAR 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (+4)   47-52 (+9)   56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-2)   95-100 (+15) 60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW 12 G26    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        SW  5        W 16 G28     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           70           

PRECIP DURATION                    5            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.22         0.28         

LAL                   1            2            2            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      W 35         

DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               47 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND

RAIN. LOWS 8 TO 21. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 26. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-120945-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

433 AM EDT TUE MAR 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (+4)   47-52 (+11)  55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-5)   95-100 (+14) 61-66        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW 10 G23    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        LGT/VAR      W 16 G27     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           70           

PRECIP DURATION                    5            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.23         0.28         

LAL                   1            2            2            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      W 35         

DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               39 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND

RAIN. LOWS 11 TO 21. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-120945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

433 AM EDT TUE MAR 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (+3)   46-51 (+9)   58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-1)   87-92 (+3)   55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     SW 11 G28    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        LGT/VAR      W 19 G32     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           90           

PRECIP DURATION                    5            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.14         0.33         

LAL                   1            2            2            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      SW 39        

DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               81 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND

RAIN. LOWS 11 TO 20. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-120945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

433 AM EDT TUE MAR 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (+3)   49-54 (+10)  57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (0)    88-93 (+5)   52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     SW 13 G28    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        LGT/VAR      W 17 G29     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           80           

PRECIP DURATION                    5            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.17         0.27         

LAL                   1            2            2            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 14                      W 38         

DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   82 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND

RAIN. LOWS 12 TO 22. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-120945-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

433 AM EDT TUE MAR 11 2014 /333 AM CDT TUE MAR 11 2014/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+3)   50-55 (+9)   58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (+4)   92-97 (+13)  50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW 13 G28    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        S  6         NW 17 G29    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           60           

PRECIP DURATION                    5            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.20         0.19         

LAL                   1            2            2            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      W 36         

DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   82 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS 14 TO 23. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.



$$













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