

826 

FNUS54 KMRX 102117

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

517 PM EDT MON MAR 10 2014



.DISCUSSION...

SUNNY AND DRY WEATHER EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY BEFORE NEXT STORM

SYSTEM BRINGS WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY

NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL USHER IN MUCH COLDER

TEMPEATURES LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY...WITH RAIN CHANGING TO

SNOW SHOWERS ABOVE 3000 FEET WITH LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS

POSSIBLE ALONG WITH VERY WIND CONDITIONS IN THE MOUNTAINS. COLDER

WEATHER WILL BE SHORT LIVED WITH A GRADUAL WARMUP INTO THE WEEKEND

ALONG WITH A RETURN OF A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR RAIN.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-112230-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

517 PM EDT MON MAR 10 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+3)   65-70 (+9)   47-52        53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80        25-30 (+28)  89-94        41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7                     SW 11 G28    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        SW  7        SW  5        W 18 G31     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            70           90           

PRECIP DURATION                                 2            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.08         0.44         

LAL                   1            1            3            3            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     W 47         

DISPERSION                         3 VERY POOR               15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY AND RAIN. LOWS 6 TO 20. NORTHWEST

WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS 14 TO 29. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. WARMER. HIGHS IN

THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN

THE 30S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN

THE MID 30S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-112230-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

517 PM EDT MON MAR 10 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+3)   65-70 (+8)   47-52        55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80        22-27 (+25)  84-89        38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      SW 11 G28    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         W  5         LGT/VAR      W 20 G37     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            70           90           

PRECIP DURATION                                 2            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.10         0.38         

LAL                   1            1            3            3            

LASI                               3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      W 43         

DISPERSION                         1 VERY POOR               10 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WINDY. SNOW LIKELY AND RAIN. LOWS 4 TO 22.

NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 30 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

20 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS 14 TO 27. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. WARMER. HIGHS IN

THE LOWER 40S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-112230-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

517 PM EDT MON MAR 10 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+5)   64-69 (+7)   49-54        50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      63-68        18-23 (+21)  83-88        40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     SW 12 G28    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        SW  6        SW  6        W 17 G31     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            90           80           

PRECIP DURATION                                 5            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.13         0.31         

LAL                   1            1            3            3            

LASI                               3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      W 39         

DISPERSION                         1 VERY POOR               6 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND

SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 6 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 25 MPH.

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. WARMER. HIGHS IN

THE LOWER 40S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN

THE MID 30S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-112230-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

517 PM EDT MON MAR 10 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+3)   67-72 (+7)   51-56        51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80        27-32 (+30)  89-94        43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW 13 G27    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        SW  5        S  6         NW 17 G29    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            90           80           

PRECIP DURATION                                 5            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.19         0.24         

LAL                   1            1            3            3            

LASI                               3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2600                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 10                     W 35         

DISPERSION                         2 VERY POOR               14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

10 TO 25. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. WARMER. HIGHS IN

THE LOWER 40S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-112230-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

517 PM EDT MON MAR 10 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+1)   68-73 (+6)   50-55        51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80        21-26 (+24)  91-96        41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW 10 G24    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W 17 G28     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            90           80           

PRECIP DURATION                                 5            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.19         0.24         

LAL                   1            1            3            3            

LASI                               3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  9                      W 36         

DISPERSION                         1 VERY POOR               11 POOR      

MAX LVORI                          3                         5            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS 11 TO 24.

NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. WARMER. HIGHS IN

THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-112230-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

517 PM EDT MON MAR 10 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+2)   69-74 (+8)   48-53        55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      76-81        23-28 (+26)  86-91        39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     SW 11 G27    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        SW  5        LGT/VAR      W 18 G31     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            90           90           

PRECIP DURATION                                 5            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.10         0.40         

LAL                   1            1            3            3            

LASI                               3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 14                     W 45         

DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    30 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.

LOWS 7 TO 23. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. WARMER. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN

THE 30S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN

THE 30S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-112230-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

517 PM EDT MON MAR 10 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+2)   69-74 (+7)   51-56        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      77-82        25-30 (+28)  82-87        38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     SW 11 G26    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        SW  5        S  5         W 16 G28     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            90           80           

PRECIP DURATION                                 5            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.15         0.30         

LAL                   1            1            3            3            

LASI                               3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 13                     W 39         

DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS

10 TO 26. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. WARMER. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN

THE 40S TO 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN

THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-112230-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

517 PM EDT MON MAR 10 2014 /417 PM CDT MON MAR 10 2014/



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+4)   70-75 (+6)   53-58        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86        31-36 (+34)  83-88        43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     SW 13 G26    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        SW  6        S  6         NW 16 G28    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            90           80           

PRECIP DURATION                                 5            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.25         0.18         

LAL                   1            1            3            3            

LASI                               2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2600                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 13                     NW 37        

DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN

THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. WARMER. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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