

985 

FNUS54 KMRX 100109

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

909 PM EDT SUN MAR 9 2014



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 

REGION THROUGH TUESDAY...BRINGING DRY AND TRANQUIL CONDITIONS WITH 

ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL THEN AFFECT 

THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY...BRINGING A GOOD CHANCE FOR 

RAIN.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-110215-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

909 PM EDT SUN MAR 9 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-4)   60-65 (+7)   39-44        65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (-6)   31-36 (+6)   81-86        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G20                  SW  7 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 11 G20     SW  7        SW  9 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 22                      SW 14        

DISPERSION                         69 GOOD                   44 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID

20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN

THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-110215-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

909 PM EDT SUN MAR 9 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-5)   58-63 (+5)   37-42        63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (-6)   28-33 (+1)   76-81        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 11 G24                  W  9 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        W 11 G22     W  9 G19     W  7 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      W 13         

DISPERSION                         60 GEN GOOD               31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID

20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO

LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN

THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-110215-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

909 PM EDT SUN MAR 9 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-4)   57-62 (+3)   38-43        63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (-3)   27-32 (-2)   70-75        19-24        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G21                  W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 10 G19     SW  8 G18    W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 15                      W 13         

DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   27 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER.

LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN

THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-110215-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

909 PM EDT SUN MAR 9 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-5)   61-66 (+2)   38-43        66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+9)   35-40 (+3)   78-83        24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6 G16                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  8 G15     SW  6        SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 13                      SW 12        

DISPERSION                         43 GEN GOOD               30 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO

THE WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER.

LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER

40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN

THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS

IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-110215-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

909 PM EDT SUN MAR 9 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-6)   61-66 (+1)   36-41        67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+11)  31-36 (+1)   78-83        20-25        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G18                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  9         W  5         W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7000                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 13                      W 12         

DISPERSION                         51 GEN GOOD               30 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          3                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO

15 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER.

LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN

THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS

IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-110215-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

909 PM EDT SUN MAR 9 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-5)   62-67 (+6)   38-43        66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-3)   30-35 (+4)   79-84        28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7 G18                  SW  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 10 G19     SW  6        SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      SW 13        

DISPERSION                         60 GEN GOOD               42 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS

NEAR 60. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER.

LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. MUCH COLDER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO

MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN

THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-110215-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

909 PM EDT SUN MAR 9 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-5)   64-69 (+7)   41-46        67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+5)   29-34 (+1)   76-81        28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6 G16                  SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  9 G17     SW  6        SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      SW 14        

DISPERSION                         49 GEN GOOD               47 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER.

LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN

THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS

IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-110215-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

909 PM EDT SUN MAR 9 2014 /809 PM CDT SUN MAR 9 2014/



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-3)   67-72 (+7)   41-46        70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+2)   29-34 (-3)   79-84        26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7         SW  6        SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      SW 13        

DISPERSION                         49 GEN GOOD               43 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

NORTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MUCH

COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER

50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN

THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$













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