

301 

FNUS54 KMRX 070846

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

500 AM EST FRI MAR 7 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHEASTWARD UP THE ATLANTIC COAST 

TODAY...WITH CLOUDS AND SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN AFFECTING THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION 

ON SATURDAY NIGHT...BUT TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE A LITTLE 

ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-080915-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

500 AM EST FRI MAR 7 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+5)   32-37 (+1)   55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+15)  86-91 (+13)  39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         LGT/VAR      W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN/SNOW    NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            4 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 12                     W 14         

DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN 

THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. COLDER. 

LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-080915-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

500 AM EST FRI MAR 7 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+11)  31-36 (+1)   54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+13)  86-91 (+7)   37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        NW  5        W  7 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN/SNOW    NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 14                     W 15         

DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   24 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS NEAR 40. WEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO 

LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN 

THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. COLDER. 

LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-080915-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

500 AM EST FRI MAR 7 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+6)   32-37 (+2)   55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+11)  80-85 (+6)   31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 10                     W 13         

DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S 

TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO 

LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S TO LOWER 40S. 

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST 

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. COLDER. 

LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 

5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-080915-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

500 AM EST FRI MAR 7 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+3)   34-39 (+2)   61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (+6)   79-84 (-8)   32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        LGT/VAR      W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 10                      W 12         

DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   28 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS NEAR 40. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. COOLER. LOWS IN 

THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-080915-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

500 AM EST FRI MAR 7 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+5)   32-37 (0)    61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (+8)   82-87 (-13)  29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        LGT/VAR      W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 12                      W 12         

DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   27 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS NEAR 40. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 

MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. COOLER. LOWS IN 

THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-080915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

500 AM EST FRI MAR 7 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+5)   33-38 (+1)   58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (+14)  85-90 (+10)  37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 10                     W 13         

DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN 

THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. COLDER. LOWS IN 

THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-080915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

500 AM EST FRI MAR 7 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+4)   35-40 (+3)   61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (+8)   80-85 (+12)  36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            4 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  9                     W 12         

DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. COLDER. LOWS IN 

THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-080915-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

500 AM EST FRI MAR 7 2014 /400 AM CST FRI MAR 7 2014/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+5)   36-41 (+2)   62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (+4)   76-81 (-6)   34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 10                      W 12         

DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   38 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 40. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. COOLER. LOWS IN 

THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 



$$







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