

155 

FNUS54 KMRX 061955

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

255 PM EST THU MAR 6 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TRACK INTO THE AREA...BRINGING MOSTLY

LIGHT RAIN TO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION TONIGHT. AS THE

SYSTEM MOVES UP THE EAST COAST LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY...COLD

AIR FROM THE NORTHEAST WILL ALLOW SOME LIGHT SLEET...AND FREEZING

RAIN TO DEVELOP IN EXTREME NORTHEAST TENNESSEE AND SOUTHWESTERN

VIRGINIA BEFORE TEMPERATURES WARM FRIDAY. THE OUTLOOK FOR THE

WEEKEND CALLS FOR MAINLY DRY WEATHER AND WARMER TEMPERATURES.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-072100-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

255 PM EST THU MAR 6 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+3)   48-53 (+1)   32-37        56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (-4)   45-50 (+15)  80-85        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  7 G16     NE  5        LGT/VAR      W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    FRZ RAIN     NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.05         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  7                     W 16         

DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   47 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. COLDER. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-072100-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

255 PM EST THU MAR 6 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+1)   45-50 (0)    31-36        55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+12)  52-57 (+20)  79-84        30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  8 G18    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  8 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    FRZ RAIN     NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.25         0.16         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  9                     W 14         

DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. COLDER. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-072100-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

255 PM EST THU MAR 6 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+2)   48-53 (+3)   31-36        55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+4)   45-50 (+11)  74-79        21-26        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  6 G15     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  8 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.28         0.10         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 10                      W 12         

DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   25 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN

THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. COLDER. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-072100-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

255 PM EST THU MAR 6 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+1)   53-58 (+6)   33-38        61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+10)  47-52 (+10)  81-86        25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  7         LGT/VAR      W  7 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.26         0.06         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 10                      W  9         

DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               28 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. COOLER. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-072100-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

255 PM EST THU MAR 6 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+1)   53-58 (+7)   32-37        61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+2)   47-52 (+11)  80-85        22-27        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  6         LGT/VAR      W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       6            2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.39         0.11         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  8                     W 10         

DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               32 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. COOLER. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-072100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

255 PM EST THU MAR 6 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+6)   50-55 (+1)   31-36        58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (-4)   44-49 (+14)  84-89        30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           SLEET/RAIN   FRZ RAIN     NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.08         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  7                      W 14         

DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               37 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. COOLER. LOWS IN

THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-072100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

255 PM EST THU MAR 6 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+6)   54-59 (+4)   33-38        61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (+2)   39-44 (+5)   81-86        30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     RAIN         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           10           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  8                      W 13         

DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               38 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. COLDER. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-072100-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

255 PM EST THU MAR 6 2014 /155 PM CST THU MAR 6 2014/



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+3)   56-61 (+7)   34-39        63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+13)  37-42 (+1)   80-85        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  7                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  6         LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 12                      W 10         

DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   35 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. COOLER. LOWS

AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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