

601 

FNUS54 KMRX 060917

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

417 AM EST THU MAR 6 2014



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE GIVES WAY TO LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING OVER THE LOWER 

MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGION TODAY. THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TRACK 

EAST ACROSS THE GULF COAST TONIGHT...BRINGING A CHANCE OF MOSTLY 

LIGHT RAIN TO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION LATE TODAY AND 

TONIGHT. AS SYSTEM MOVES UP THE EAST COAST LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY 

FRIDAY COLD AIR FROM THE NORTHEAST WILL ALLOW SOME SLEET...SNOW AND 

FREEZING RAIN TO DEVELOP IN EXTREME NORTHEAST TENNESSEE AND 

SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA BEFORE TEMPERATURES WARM FRIDAY. THE OUTLOOK FOR 

THE WEEKEND CALLS FOR DRY WEATHER AND WARMER TEMPERATURES.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-071030-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

417 AM EST THU MAR 6 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-1)   29-34 (+3)   48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (0)    74-79 (-9)   49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  6         E  5         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SLEET/RAIN   SLEET/RAIN   

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    3            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.07         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  9                     E 13         

DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS

IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER

60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-071030-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

417 AM EST THU MAR 6 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-3)   29-34 (+1)   45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (+7)   77-82 (+4)   54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7        NE  7        NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SLEET/RAIN   

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           60           

PRECIP DURATION                    5            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.23         0.16         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 13                     E 20         

DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER

60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-071030-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

417 AM EST THU MAR 6 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-1)   31-36 (+1)   47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-8)   83-88 (+8)   49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           70           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.28         0.10         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  9                     NE 16        

DISPERSION            11 POOR                   18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO

MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-071030-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

417 AM EST THU MAR 6 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-3)   32-37 (0)    52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-6)   90-95 (+8)   50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           70           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.29         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 13                      NE 10        

DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   17 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

NEAR 40. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-071030-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

417 AM EST THU MAR 6 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-4)   32-37 (0)    51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-8)   90-95 (+4)   52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           80           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            6            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.38         0.11         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 16                      NE 14        

DISPERSION            41 GEN GOOD               33 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             2                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

NEAR 40. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-071030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

417 AM EST THU MAR 6 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-1)   31-36 (+5)   50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (+2)   76-81 (-9)   49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  6         E  5         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SLEET/RAIN   FRZ RAIN     

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    4            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.14         0.08         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 10                     E 14         

DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   27 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-071030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

417 AM EST THU MAR 6 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (0)    33-38 (+5)   54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-4)   82-87 (-2)   43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           10           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.10         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  7                      NE 13        

DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               25 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-071030-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

417 AM EST THU MAR 6 2014 /317 AM CST THU MAR 6 2014/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-4)   34-39 (+2)   56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (+2)   89-94 (+9)   40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.14         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 12                      NE 15        

DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TD/SON









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