

244 

FNUS54 KMRX 052028

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

328 PM EST WED MAR 5 2014



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL GIVE WAY TO LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING OVER THE 

LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGION. THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TRACK 

EAST ACROSS THE GULF COAST STATES TONIGHT...BRINGING A CHANCE OF 

MOSTLY LIGHT RAIN OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION THURSDAY AND 

THURSDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER...AREAS NORTH OF I-40 AND I-81 MAY NOT GET 

MUCH MORE THAN SPRINKLES. THE OUTLOOK FOR THE WEEKEND CALLS FOR DRY 

WEATHER AND WARMER TEMPERATURES.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-062130-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

328 PM EST WED MAR 5 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (+2)   46-51 (0)    32-37        50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+1)   41-46 (+3)   88-93        48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   E  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  8 G16     NE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  9                     E 21         

DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               35 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-062130-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

328 PM EST WED MAR 5 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (+3)   45-50 (-1)   31-36        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (0)    38-43 (+7)   90-95        49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   E  9 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      E  5         SE  9 G19    NE  8 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           40           

PRECIP DURATION                                 2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.11         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 12                     E 26         

DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               44 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-062130-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

328 PM EST WED MAR 5 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (+5)   46-51 (0)    33-38        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (-17)  32-37 (-10)  92-97        58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   E  8 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      E  5         E  6 G17     NE  8 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           60           40           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.14         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  7                      E 24         

DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               25 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-062130-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

328 PM EST WED MAR 5 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (+2)   48-53 (-3)   35-40        53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-13)  40-45 (-2)   95-100       57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NE  5        LGT/VAR      N  8 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           60           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.17         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  9                      NE 18        

DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

50. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-062130-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

328 PM EST WED MAR 5 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (+2)   48-53 (-4)   35-40        53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (-15)  37-42 (-4)   95-100       60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NE  5        LGT/VAR      N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           70           40           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.26         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E 12                      E 23         

DISPERSION                         38 FAIR                   54 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          3                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

NEAR 40. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

50. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-062130-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

328 PM EST WED MAR 5 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (+2)   49-54 (+1)   34-39        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-1)   38-43 (+4)   85-90        49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NE  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  7         NE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.05         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 10                     E 20         

DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   39 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

NEAR 40. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-062130-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

328 PM EST WED MAR 5 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+2)   50-55 (0)    35-40        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-6)   39-44 (0)    88-93        45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  5         N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           0            

PRECIP DURATION                                 1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM                      

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  7                      E 14         

DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO

UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-062130-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

328 PM EST WED MAR 5 2014 /228 PM CST WED MAR 5 2014/



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (+1)   49-54 (-4)   37-42        55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-4)   44-49 (+8)   95-100       46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           60           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1            2                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.07         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E 10                      NE 15        

DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   30 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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