

490 

FNUS54 KMRX 040234 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

934 PM EST MON MAR 3 2014



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION THE 

NEXT FEW DAYS...WITH A WARMING TREND EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A 

LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE ALONG THE GULF COASTAL REGION 

LATER THIS WEEK...BRINGING A CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN OVER THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION ON THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-050345-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

934 PM EST MON MAR 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      8-13 (-19)   41-46 (+13)  23-28        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  35-40 (-30)  80-85        38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  7 G16    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  5                     W  5         

DISPERSION                         4 VERY POOR               7 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID

30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH

IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE

EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-050345-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

934 PM EST MON MAR 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      15-20 (-21)  41-46 (+2)   23-28        47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  35-40 (-12)  75-80        35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  5                     W  3         

DISPERSION                         3 VERY POOR               5 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID

30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW.

HIGHS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-050345-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

934 PM EST MON MAR 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      17-22 (-20)  41-46 (0)    24-29        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+3)   35-40 (-12)  81-86        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  7 G15    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  3                      W  3         

DISPERSION                         3 VERY POOR               5 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID

30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER

50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-050345-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

934 PM EST MON MAR 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (-23)  45-50 (+1)   27-32        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+13)  38-43 (-9)   85-90        30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  8 G19    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ DRZL     NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  3                     W  3         

DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR               7 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN

THE 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN

THE LOWER TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-050345-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

934 PM EST MON MAR 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (-21)  45-50 (-3)   27-32        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+21) 38-43 (-6)   84-89        29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  5 G15    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ DRZL     NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  3                     SW  3        

DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               7 POOR       

MAX LVORI                          3                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-050345-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

934 PM EST MON MAR 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      14-19 (-19)  43-48 (+9)   25-30        50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+5)  37-42 (-20)  79-84        37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  3                     W  3         

DISPERSION                         4 VERY POOR               8 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER

50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-050345-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

934 PM EST MON MAR 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      14-19 (-17)  44-49 (+12)  26-31        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  37-42 (-23)  83-88        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  9 G17    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ DRZL     NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  3                     W  3         

DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR               9 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS NEAR 50. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-050345-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

934 PM EST MON MAR 3 2014 /834 PM CST MON MAR 3 2014/



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (-16)  45-50 (+7)   28-33        55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-4)   38-43 (-14)  80-85        30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE 10 G20    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ DRZL     NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  3                     SW  3        

DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               9 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$















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