

508 

FNUS54 KMRX 031626 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1126 AM EST MON MAR 3 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION TODAY...BRINGING RAIN CHANGING TO A WINTRY MIX.

ICE AND SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER MUCH OF THE REGION. 

HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD OVER THE REGION ON TUESDAY...WITH A 

WARMING TREND EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-041730-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1126 AM EST MON MAR 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      10-15 (-17)  42-47 (+14)  20-25        46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  34-39 (-39)  86-91        38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  6                      N/A          

DISPERSION                         8 POOR                                 



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH

SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-041730-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1126 AM EST MON MAR 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      16-21 (-20)  42-47 (+3)   20-25        46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  34-39 (-26)  82-87        37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  6                      N/A          

DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR                            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST

IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...



$$



TNZ072-074-041730-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1126 AM EST MON MAR 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (-19)  42-47 (+1)   21-26        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+4)   35-40 (-27)  82-87        35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  5        NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  6                     N/A          

DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR                            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER

50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH IN

THE AFTERNOON. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...



$$



TNZ087-102-041730-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1126 AM EST MON MAR 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (-21)  45-50 (+1)   24-29        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+17) 36-41 (-27)  82-87        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  6        NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  6                     N/A          

DISPERSION                         8 POOR                                 



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...



$$



NCZ060-061-041730-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1126 AM EST MON MAR 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (-20)  45-50 (-3)   24-29        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+23) 37-42 (-26)  81-86        33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  5        SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  6                     N/A          

DISPERSION                         8 POOR                                 

MAX LVORI                          5                                      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 60. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-041730-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1126 AM EST MON MAR 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      16-21 (-17)  44-49 (+10)  22-27        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+5)  35-40 (-38)  83-88        37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  6                     N/A          

DISPERSION                         10 POOR                                



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID

30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-041730-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1126 AM EST MON MAR 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (-13)  44-49 (+12)  23-28        50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  37-42 (-39)  85-90        36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  6                     N/A          

DISPERSION                         11 POOR                                



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-041730-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1126 AM EST MON MAR 3 2014 /1026 AM CST MON MAR 3 2014/



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (-14)  45-50 (+7)   25-30        53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-3)   38-43 (-28)  81-86        35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  8 G16    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  6                     N/A          

DISPERSION                         12 POOR                                



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID TO UPPER 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...



$$













