

182 

FNUS54 KMRX 022118

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

418 PM EST SUN MAR 2 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION REGION 

TONIGHT...BRINGING RAIN FOLLOWED BY A WINTRY MIX LATER TONIGHT INTO 

MONDAY.HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FOR TUESDAY.  





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-032230-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

418 PM EST SUN MAR 2 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-8)   27-32 (-30)  8-13         37-42        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+10) 75-80 (+22)  95-100       38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  6         NE  6        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     SNOW/FZ RA   NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       8            5                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.74         0.32         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      2500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 14                      SW  5        

DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               2 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 24. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.

EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-032230-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

418 PM EST SUN MAR 2 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (0)    36-41 (-20)  14-19        37-42        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+12)  60-65 (+8)   87-92        37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G15                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  8 G15     NE  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         FRZ RAIN     SNOW         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            6            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   10 PM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.24         0.22         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 10                     SW  5        

DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    2 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 25. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN

THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-032230-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

418 PM EST SUN MAR 2 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-1)   37-42 (-20)  16-21        40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+12)  59-64 (+6)   86-91        35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  9 G16                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  8         NE  6 G15    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         FRZ RAIN     SNOW         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            5            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   10 PM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.24         0.17         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     SW  3        

DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    2 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 26. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-032230-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

418 PM EST SUN MAR 2 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+4)   41-46 (-21)  18-23        44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+2)   64-69 (+14)  89-94        35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G16                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  9 G19     NE  7 G19    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         FRZ RAIN     NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            5                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.17         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 14                     S  3         

DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               4 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-032230-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

418 PM EST SUN MAR 2 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+7)   44-49 (-19)  20-25        44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+3)   64-69 (+13)  88-93        36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  8         NE  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         FRZ RAIN     NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            5                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.17         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      S  3         

DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               5 VERY POOR  

MAX LVORI                          5                         5            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-032230-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

418 PM EST SUN MAR 2 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-2)   34-39 (-25)  14-19        39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+8)  67-72 (+15)  89-94        38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  7         NE  6        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     SNOW/FZ RA   NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            5                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.46         0.23         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      2500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 10                      SW  3        

DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               3 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID

30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-032230-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

418 PM EST SUN MAR 2 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-8)   32-37 (-29)  16-21        41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+13) 69-74 (+18)  88-93        37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  9 G18                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  7 G15     NE  8 G16    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     SNOW/FZ RA   NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       8            5                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.68         0.19         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      2600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 16                      SW  3        

DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   4 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-032230-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

418 PM EST SUN MAR 2 2014 /318 PM CST SUN MAR 2 2014/



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-5)   37-42 (-27)  19-24        45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+6)   62-67 (+15)  83-88        36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 14 G26                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N 11 G21     NE 10 G19    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     SNOW/FZ RA   NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            5                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.43         0.13         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2600                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 17                      S  5         

DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   7 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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