

169 

FNUS54 KMRX 021456

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

956 AM EST SUN MAR 2 2014



.DISCUSSION...

RAIN WILL BEGIN THIS AFTERNOON. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL 

THEN MOVE INTO THE REGION TONIGHT. THE RAIN WILL BECOME A WINTRY MIX 

BY MONDAY MORNING. TEMPERATURES WILL FALL TO BELOW NORMAL EARLY NEXT 

WEEK. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-031600-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

956 AM EST SUN MAR 2 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+2)   29-34 (-6)   31-36        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (+24)  95-100 (+10) 65-70        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     N  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      N  8 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         FRZ RAIN     SNOW/FZ RA   

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           100          100          

PRECIP DURATION       1            8            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.73         0.32         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 33                     N 12         

DISPERSION            67 GOOD                   9 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 12 TO 18. NORTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-031600-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

956 AM EST SUN MAR 2 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+5)   37-42 (+1)   37-42        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+22)  95-100 (+18) 53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6 G15                 NW  8 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G15    LGT/VAR      N  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           90           100          

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            6            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.24         0.22         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 26                      SW 15        

DISPERSION            63 GOOD                   8 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 14 TO

22. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-031600-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

956 AM EST SUN MAR 2 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+7)   38-43 (0)    38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (+17)  95-100 (+22) 54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G17                 NW  8 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G18    SW  7 G15    N 10 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           90           100          

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.24         0.17         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 28                     W 20         

DISPERSION            64 GOOD                   9 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 19 TO

25. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-031600-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

956 AM EST SUN MAR 2 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+12)  41-46 (+4)   42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+9)   95-100 (+13) 54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G16                  NW  9 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G16     S  7 G15     N 12 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SLEET/RAIN   

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           100          

PRECIP DURATION                    5            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.23         0.17         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 25                     W 17         

DISPERSION            73 GOOD                   13 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-031600-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

956 AM EST SUN MAR 2 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+13)  42-47 (+7)   45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (+9)   95-100 (+12) 48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     NW  8 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        S  5         N 10 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SLEET/RAIN   

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           100          

PRECIP DURATION                    5            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.16         0.17         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 21                     W 24         

DISPERSION            66 GOOD                   17 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI             4                         6            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS NEAR 50.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-031600-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

956 AM EST SUN MAR 2 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+3)   34-39 (-1)   35-40        

RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (+25)  95-100 (+7)  63-68        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     NW  8 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         LGT/VAR      N  9         

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         FRZ RAIN     SNOW/FZ RA   

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           90           100          

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.46         0.23         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      2600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 30                     N 12         

DISPERSION            69 GOOD                   11 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 24. NORTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-031600-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

956 AM EST SUN MAR 2 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+5)   31-36 (-8)   33-38        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+18)  95-100 (+13) 64-69        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6 G15                  N  8 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G15    LGT/VAR      N  9 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         FRZ RAIN     SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           100          90           

PRECIP DURATION       1            8            4            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.67         0.19         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      2400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 32                     N 15         

DISPERSION            94 GOOD                   15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 17 TO 26. NORTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-031600-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

956 AM EST SUN MAR 2 2014 /856 AM CST SUN MAR 2 2014/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+14)  37-42 (-3)   38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+7)   93-98 (+7)   57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G17                  N 12 G23     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G17    SW  5        N 14 G24     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           90           80           

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.43         0.13         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      2400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 30                     NW 14        

DISPERSION            93 GOOD                   14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$













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