

058 

FNUS54 KMRX 011949

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

249 PM EST SAT MAR 1 2014



.DISCUSSION...

MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY. AS A 

WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 

EXPECT AFTERNOON HIGHS ON SUNDAY TO EXCEED SEASONAL NORMALS. 

HOWEVER...A COLD FRONT WILL THEN MOVE INTO THE REGION LATE SUNDAY 

AND SUNDAY NIGHT...BRINGING RAIN FOLLOWED BY A CHANCE FOR A WINTRY 

MIX OF PRECIPITATION. TEMPERATURES WILL FALL TO BELOW NORMAL EARLY 

NEXT WEEK. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-022100-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

249 PM EST SAT MAR 1 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+8)   56-61 (+1)   29-34        29-34        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+26)  51-56 (+24)  95-100       73-78        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6 G15                 N 11 G21     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G17    W  6         N 11 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      FRZ RAIN     SNOW/FZ RA   

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           100          100          

PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.61         0.24         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 36                     N 17         

DISPERSION                         63 GOOD                   22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 9 TO 16. NORTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-022100-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

249 PM EST SAT MAR 1 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+10)  55-60 (+2)   37-42        37-42        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+22)  50-55 (+23)  95-100       63-68        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  8 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7 G15     SW  7 G16    N  9 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SNOW/FZ RA   

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            90           100          

PRECIP DURATION                                 5            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.24         0.21         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 26                     NW 14        

DISPERSION                         55 GEN GOOD               14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 12 TO

20. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS

IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS AROUND

30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-022100-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

249 PM EST SAT MAR 1 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+10)  57-62 (+6)   38-43        38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (+18)  48-53 (+14)  95-100       68-73        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5 G15                 NW  8 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 10 G19    SW 10 G21    N  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SNOW/FZ RA   

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            90           100          

PRECIP DURATION                                 5            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.24         0.18         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 28                     N 14         

DISPERSION                         58 GEN GOOD               13 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 16 TO

22. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-022100-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

249 PM EST SAT MAR 1 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+8)   62-67 (+8)   41-46        41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+22)  46-51 (+9)   95-100       70-75        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  9 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  8 G16    S  7 G17     N 13 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            90           100          

PRECIP DURATION                                 5            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.23         0.16         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 24                     N 22         

DISPERSION                         64 GOOD                   27 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 24. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-022100-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

249 PM EST SAT MAR 1 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+7)   63-68 (+9)   42-47        42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+24)  47-52 (+9)   95-100       72-77        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  8 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  7        S  6 G15     N 11 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            90           100          

PRECIP DURATION                                 5            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.15         0.17         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 21                     N 17         

DISPERSION                         61 GOOD                   21 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          4                         5            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS NEAR 50.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-022100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

249 PM EST SAT MAR 1 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+8)   59-64 (+2)   34-39        34-39        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+23)  48-53 (+21)  95-100       73-78        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N 10 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G17    SW  5        N  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      FRZ RAIN     SNOW/FZ RA   

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           90           100          

PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.42         0.20         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 31                     N 14         

DISPERSION                         64 GOOD                   21 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 13 TO 21. NORTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS

IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-022100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

249 PM EST SAT MAR 1 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+9)   61-66 (+4)   31-36        31-36        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+19)  46-51 (+15)  95-100       77-82        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N 11 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  8 G16    W  6         N 11 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      FRZ RAIN     SNOW/FZ RA   

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           100          90           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.58         0.14         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 32                     N 20         

DISPERSION                         85 GOOD                   29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 14 TO 23. NORTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-022100-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

249 PM EST SAT MAR 1 2014 /149 PM CST SAT MAR 1 2014/



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+7)   64-69 (+9)   37-42        37-42        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+25)  40-45 (+2)   95-100       70-75        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N 11 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G17    SW  6        N 13 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SNOW/FZ RA   

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           90           80           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.41         0.09         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 26                     N 22         

DISPERSION                         77 GOOD                   35 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 25. NORTHEAST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS NEAR 50.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$













