

063 

FNUS54 KMRX 010804

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

304 AM EST SAT MAR 1 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A MILD WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A COLD FRONT 

WILL THEN MOVE INTO THE REGION ON SUNDAY NIGHT...BRINGING A BETTER 

CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION. TEMPERATURES WILL FALL TO BELOW NORMAL 

EARLY NEXT WEEK. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-020915-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

304 AM EST SAT MAR 1 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+5)   35-40 (+8)   57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (+27)  82-87 (+23)  48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      SW 11 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     SW 30        

DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   54 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...RAIN...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN

THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 15 TO 21. NORTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-020915-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

304 AM EST SAT MAR 1 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+6)   32-37 (+6)   58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (+26)  88-93 (+27)  43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  7 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW 10 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     W 26         

DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   42 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. MUCH

COLDER. LOWS 17 TO 23. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-020915-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

304 AM EST SAT MAR 1 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+6)   33-38 (+5)   58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (+17)  86-91 (+23)  44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     S  9 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        SW 11 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     SW 26        

DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. MUCH

COLDER. LOWS 15 TO 24. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-020915-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

304 AM EST SAT MAR 1 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+5)   36-41 (+6)   62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (+21)  87-92 (+16)  43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      S  8 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        S  5         S  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     SW 25        

DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   51 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHEAST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-020915-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

304 AM EST SAT MAR 1 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+4)   35-40 (+6)   62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (+19)  87-92 (+11)  42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  7 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  9 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     SW 23        

DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   48 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI             3                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHEAST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-020915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

304 AM EST SAT MAR 1 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+5)   34-39 (+7)   59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (+26)  89-94 (+22)  45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  7 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW 10 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     SW 26        

DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   57 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS 17 TO 24.

NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-020915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

304 AM EST SAT MAR 1 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+7)   37-42 (+7)   60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (+24)  87-92 (+21)  46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  8 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      SW 10 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     SW 30        

DISPERSION            43 GEN GOOD               67 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER

40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 19 TO 26. NORTHEAST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-020915-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

304 AM EST SAT MAR 1 2014 /204 AM CST SAT MAR 1 2014/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+5)   39-44 (+6)   63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (+23)  89-94 (+20)  44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      S  8 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      S 10 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     SW 28        

DISPERSION            43 GEN GOOD               70 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH

SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHEAST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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