

604 

FNUS54 KMRX 282044

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

345 PM EST FRI FEB 28 2014



.DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER AIR DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 

REGION TONIGHT...BRINGING A CHANCE FOR LIGHT RAIN...LIGHT SNOW...OR 

LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. LITTLE OR NO ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED. A COLD 

FRONT WILL THEN MOVE INTO THE REGION ON SUNDAY NIGHT...BRINGING A 

BETTER CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION. TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOVE NORMAL 

THIS WEEKEND AHEAD OF THIS COLD FRONT...BUT WILL FALL TO NEAR NORMAL 

LEVELS FOR MOST OF NEXT WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-012145-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

345 PM EST FRI FEB 28 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (+12)  51-56 (+5)   35-40        57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (+4)   36-41 (+22)  84-89        48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  7 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        LGT/VAR      SW 11 G21    

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     SNOW/FZ RA   NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING                1 PM         

PRECIP END                         11 AM                     CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 16                     SW 31        

DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   59 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...RAIN...SNOW...AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH 

COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID TEENS TO LOWER 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN 

THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE 

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-012145-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

345 PM EST FRI FEB 28 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (+11)  49-54 (+6)   32-37        58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (+8)   40-45 (+25)  90-95        42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W 10 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     SNOW/FZ RA   NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END                         11 AM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 10                     W 28         

DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   62 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST 

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30. 

HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE 

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-012145-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

345 PM EST FRI FEB 28 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (+14)  49-54 (+6)   33-38        59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (+9)   41-46 (+24)  89-94        41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  6 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         W  5         LGT/VAR      SW 11 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM                                                

PRECIP END            7 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 13                     SW 26        

DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   53 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS 16 TO 27. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE 

30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE 20S. 

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-012145-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

345 PM EST FRI FEB 28 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (+13)  54-59 (+5)   36-41        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (+7)   41-46 (+24)  90-95        43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW 10 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          10 PM                                               

PRECIP END            7 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 13                     SW 22        

DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   46 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST 

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS 17 TO 29. NORTH 

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.



$$



NCZ060-061-012145-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

345 PM EST FRI FEB 28 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (+13)  54-59 (+4)   35-40        61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (+4)   42-47 (+26)  89-94        44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  8 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           SLEET/RAIN   NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          10 PM                                               

PRECIP END            7 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 12                     SW 20        

DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   45 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          3                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS 19 TO 29. NORTHWEST 

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 

HIGHS NEAR 50. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 

HIGHS NEAR 50. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-012145-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

345 PM EST FRI FEB 28 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (+11)  53-58 (+5)   34-39        60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (+7)   39-44 (+24)  91-96        44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW 10 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     SNOW/FZ RA   NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING                1 PM         

PRECIP END                         11 AM                     CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 12                     SW 29        

DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   65 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST 

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER. LOWS 14 TO 26. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE 

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-012145-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

345 PM EST FRI FEB 28 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+12)  54-59 (+7)   37-42        61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (+8)   38-43 (+21)  89-94        44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  7 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW 10 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            

PRECIP BEGIN          10 PM                                  1 PM         

PRECIP END            7 AM                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 15                     SW 29        

DISPERSION                         43 GEN GOOD               68 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...RAIN AND CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 

40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-012145-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

345 PM EST FRI FEB 28 2014 /245 PM CST FRI FEB 28 2014/



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (+13)  55-60 (+5)   39-44        63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (+12)  39-44 (+22)  87-92        44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR      SW  9 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            

PRECIP BEGIN          10 PM                                  1 PM         

PRECIP END            7 AM                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 15                     SW 25        

DISPERSION                         41 GEN GOOD               63 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST 

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 

30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$







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