

196 

FNUS54 KMRX 281516 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1016 AM EST FRI FEB 28 2014



.DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER AIR DISTURBANCE WILL SWING ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT 

...BRINGING A CHANCE FOR LIGHT RAIN OR SNOW. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-011630-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1016 AM EST FRI FEB 28 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+8)   26-31 (+13)  49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      21-26 (+1)   70-75 (+12)  41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM                      

PRECIP END                         7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  5                     SW 17        

DISPERSION            8 POOR                    43 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER

50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-011630-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1016 AM EST FRI FEB 28 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+6)   24-29 (+11)  52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      21-26 (+3)   69-74 (+13)  36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        SE  6        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM                      

PRECIP END                         7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  6                      SW 12        

DISPERSION            9 POOR                    22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS NEAR 50. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE

MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-011630-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1016 AM EST FRI FEB 28 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+5)   26-31 (+13)  48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      21-26 (+6)   75-80 (+17)  43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM                      

PRECIP END                         7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  5                      SW 15        

DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               20 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-011630-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1016 AM EST FRI FEB 28 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+5)   27-32 (+12)  51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      19-24 (+5)   81-86 (+14)  51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         SE  6        S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM                      

PRECIP END                         7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.08         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  8                      SW 16        

DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               28 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS...COOLER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS

IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-011630-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1016 AM EST FRI FEB 28 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+5)   26-31 (+12)  51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      18-23 (+6)   86-91 (+10)  49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        SE  6        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.09         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  8                     SW 14        

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               25 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             3                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS...COOLER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS NEAR 50. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-011630-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1016 AM EST FRI FEB 28 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+7)   26-31 (+12)  52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      19-24 (+2)   74-79 (+11)  40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        SE  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM                      

PRECIP END                         7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  5                     SW 14        

DISPERSION            9 POOR                    30 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF SNOW. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-011630-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1016 AM EST FRI FEB 28 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+7)   31-36 (+14)  52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      19-24 (+2)   68-73 (+10)  44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM                      

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  5                     SW 20        

DISPERSION            11 POOR                   46 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS...COOLER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.

HIGHS AROUND 50. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-011630-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1016 AM EST FRI FEB 28 2014 /916 AM CST FRI FEB 28 2014/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+6)   32-37 (+14)  53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      17-22 (+1)   72-77 (+13)  46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         S  7 G15     S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM                      

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.07         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  9                     SW 20        

DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   41 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS...COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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