

660 

FNUS54 KMRX 280421 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1121 PM EST THU FEB 27 2014



.DISCUSSION...

COLD HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION TONIGHT...WITH LOW 

TEMPERATURES AROUND TWELVE TO SIXTEEN DEGREES BELOW NORMAL FOR LATE 

FEBRUARY. A GRADUAL WARMING TREND WILL GET STARTED ON FRIDAY...AND 

BY SUNDAY HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE BACK ABOVE NORMAL...WITH HIGHS 

IN MAINLY IN THE 60S. AN UPPER AIR DISTURBANCE WILL SWING ACROSS THE 

REGION FRIDAY NIGHT...BRINGING A CHANCE FOR SOME LIGHT RAIN OR SNOW. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-010530-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1121 PM EST THU FEB 27 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      13-18 (0)    42-47 (+7)   26-31        44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (0)    21-26 (+1)   71-76        45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  6        SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.07         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  8                      SW 20        

DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               37 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-010530-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1121 PM EST THU FEB 27 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      13-18 (0)    41-46 (+6)   25-30        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (0)    21-26 (+3)   70-75        40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6 G17     SE  6        SE  9 G17    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.07         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  9                      SW 12        

DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-010530-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1121 PM EST THU FEB 27 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      13-18 (0)    41-46 (+4)   26-31        46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (+7)   21-26 (+6)   78-83        44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  7 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8 G17     SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.06         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  8                      SW 15        

DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   13 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN

THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-010530-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1121 PM EST THU FEB 27 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      15-20 (0)    47-52 (+5)   27-32        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+13)  19-24 (+5)   87-92        53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         SE  8 G17    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   10 AM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.06         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 13                      SW 14        

DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   17 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. SOUTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN

THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-010530-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1121 PM EST THU FEB 27 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      14-19 (-1)   48-53 (+5)   26-31        47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+14)  20-25 (+8)   93-98        52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  8 G15    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           0            

PRECIP DURATION                                 1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM                      

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.06         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 13                      SW 12        

DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   17 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI                          4                         5            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-010530-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1121 PM EST THU FEB 27 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      14-19 (0)    45-50 (+6)   27-32        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (+5)   20-25 (+3)   72-77        43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  6        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.08         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  7                      SW 14        

DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               21 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-010530-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1121 PM EST THU FEB 27 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      17-22 (+2)   46-51 (+6)   31-36        51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (+6)   20-25 (+3)   70-75        42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.08         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  9                      SW 18        

DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   32 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN

THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-010530-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1121 PM EST THU FEB 27 2014 /1021 PM CST THU FEB 27 2014/



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (+2)   47-52 (+4)   32-37        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (+13)  19-24 (+3)   75-80        45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         S  7 G15     S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   10 AM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.05         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 14                      SW 16        

DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS...COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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