

013 

FNUS54 KMRX 270809

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

309 AM EST THU FEB 27 2014



.DISCUSSION...

ANOTHER CHILLY DAY IS IN STORE ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AS ANOTHER 

REINFORCING SHOT OF COLD AIR BUILDS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 

REGION. DESPITE NEARLY FULL SUNSHINE HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE 

AROUND TWELVE TO FIFTEEN DEGREES BELOW NORMAL FOR LATE FEBRUARY. A 

GRADUAL WARMING TREND WILL GET STARTED ON FRIDAY AND BY SUNDAY 

HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE BACK ABOVE NORMAL WITH HIGHS IN MAINLY 

IN THE 60S.  





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-280915-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

309 AM EST THU FEB 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+3)   11-16 (-2)   41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      19-24 (-26)  58-63 (-7)   16-21        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 10 G22                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G22     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 28                      S 10         

DISPERSION            73 GOOD                   23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN

THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-280915-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

309 AM EST THU FEB 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+3)   11-16 (-2)   39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      15-20 (-27)  62-67 (0)    18-23        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 10 G23                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G23     NW  5 G15    SE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 32                      S 10         

DISPERSION            72 GOOD                   19 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID

20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN

THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-280915-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

309 AM EST THU FEB 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+3)   14-19 (+1)   41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      14-19 (-22)  65-70 (+4)   18-23        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7 G18                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G18     LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 24                     S 10         

DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN

THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-280915-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

309 AM EST THU FEB 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+1)   17-22 (+2)   45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      13-18 (-19)  70-75 (+2)   19-24        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7 G16                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G17    LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 21                     S 13         

DISPERSION            47 GEN GOOD               23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN

THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-280915-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

309 AM EST THU FEB 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-1)   18-23 (+3)   45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      12-17 (-19)  71-76 (-4)   20-25        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8 G19                 SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G18    LGT/VAR      SE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 25                     S 12         

DISPERSION            50 GEN GOOD               25 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             1                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-280915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

309 AM EST THU FEB 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+3)   13-18 (-1)   43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      14-19 (-23)  63-68 (-1)   17-22        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G20                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G20     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 23                      S  9         

DISPERSION            67 GOOD                   24 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-280915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

309 AM EST THU FEB 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+3)   16-21 (+1)   44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      15-20 (-19)  60-65 (-3)   16-21        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6 G17                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G17    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 20                     S 10         

DISPERSION            57 GEN GOOD               28 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-280915-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

309 AM EST THU FEB 27 2014 /209 AM CST THU FEB 27 2014/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+2)   18-23 (+2)   47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      14-19 (-17)  61-66 (0)    16-21        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     E  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        LGT/VAR      S  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 18                     S 13         

DISPERSION            54 GEN GOOD               30 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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