

284 

FNUS54 KMRX 261937

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

237 PM EST WED FEB 26 2014



...VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AND SIGNIFICANT WINDS CAN BE

EXPECTED THURSDAY AFTERNOON... 



.DISCUSSION...

ANOTHER COLD NIGHT CAN BE ANTICIPATED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION...AS COLD AIR CONTINUES FILTER INTO THE AREA 

BEHIND A COLD FRONT. A GRADUAL WARMING TREND WILL START TOMORROW 

AFTERNOON...AND CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND...WITH TEMPERATURES 

GETTING BACK TO SEASONAL NORMALS BY SATURDAY.  





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-272045-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

237 PM EST WED FEB 26 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      13-18 (-9)   33-38 (+3)   10-15        39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (+2)   21-26 (-24)  56-61        17-22        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G20                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 11 G20     N  7 G15     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 26                      S  9         

DISPERSION                         75 GOOD                   18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS

IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-272045-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

237 PM EST WED FEB 26 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      13-18 (-9)   33-38 (+3)   11-16        39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (-2)   19-24 (-23)  60-65        18-23        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 10 G23                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 14 G25     NW  8 G22    S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 32                      S  8         

DISPERSION                         78 GOOD                   12 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS

IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-272045-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

237 PM EST WED FEB 26 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      13-18 (-10)  36-41 (+4)   11-16        41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (-7)   17-22 (-19)  64-69        16-21        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G18                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 10 G19     N  6 G16     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 24                      S  8         

DISPERSION                         43 GEN GOOD               8 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS

IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-272045-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

237 PM EST WED FEB 26 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      15-20 (-10)  42-47 (+3)   14-19        45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (-1)   13-18 (-19)  72-77        19-24        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  9 G16    N  6         S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 21                     S 12         

DISPERSION                         49 GEN GOOD               17 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID

60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-272045-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

237 PM EST WED FEB 26 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      15-20 (-10)  44-49 (+2)   14-19        45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (+4)   13-18 (-18)  74-79        18-23        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  9 G17    N  5         S  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 24                     S 10         

DISPERSION                         54 GEN GOOD               19 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI                          1                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID

60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-272045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

237 PM EST WED FEB 26 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      14-19 (-10)  38-43 (+3)   12-17        42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (-2)   18-23 (-19)  61-66        16-21        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G20                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 12 G21     N  5         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 23                      S  7         

DISPERSION                         71 GOOD                   14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO

THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-272045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

237 PM EST WED FEB 26 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      15-20 (-9)   40-45 (+5)   15-20        44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (0)    17-22 (-17)  58-63        14-19        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7 G16                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  9 G17     N  6         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      S 10         

DISPERSION                         58 GEN GOOD               18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-272045-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

237 PM EST WED FEB 26 2014 /137 PM CST WED FEB 26 2014/



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      16-21 (-9)   42-47 (+4)   17-22        47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (+1)   14-19 (-17)  60-65        15-20        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6 G16                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        NW  9 G19    N  6         S  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     S 14         

DISPERSION                         53 GEN GOOD               27 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 



$$













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