

319 

FNUS54 KMRX 261527 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1027 AM EST WED FEB 26 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION EARLY 

IN THE DAY. LIMITED MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL RESULT 

IN RELATIVELY MEAGER SNOWFALL AMOUNTS. TENNESSEE VALLEY LOCATIONS 

WILL SEE AMOUNTS RANGING FROM FLURRIES IN THE SOUTH TO A LIGHT 

DUSTING IN THE NORTH. ALONG SOME OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN AREAS...UP TO 

AN INCH WILL BE POSSIBLE. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE WELL BELOW 

NORMAL TODAY  RANGING FROM THE LOWER 30S TO LOWER 40S ACROSS MUCH OF 

THE AREA. A GRADUAL WARMING TREND WILL BEGIN THURSDAY AFTERNOON. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-271630-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1027 AM EST WED FEB 26 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLEAR        CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-12)  11-16 (-11)  31-36        

RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-8)   61-66 (-4)   20-25        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8 G15                 W 11 G24     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7 G16    LGT/VAR      NW 12 G23    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 15                     W 23         

DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   75 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS 10 TO 16. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF RAIN. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-271630-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1027 AM EST WED FEB 26 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLEAR        CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-12)  10-15 (-12)  32-37        

RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-5)   68-73 (+2)   17-22        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  9 G17                 W 10 G22     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G19    LGT/VAR      NW 11 G23    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 17                     W 26         

DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   76 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS 10 TO 17. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF RAIN. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-271630-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1027 AM EST WED FEB 26 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLEAR        CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-14)  12-17 (-11)  35-40        

RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-2)   68-73 (-3)   16-21        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  7                      W  7 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7         LGT/VAR      NW  9 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 13                     NW 23        

DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               57 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS 7 TO 22. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH

SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF RAIN. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-271630-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1027 AM EST WED FEB 26 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLEAR        CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-10)  15-20 (-10)  40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (-10)  69-74 (-3)   16-21        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N 10 G18                  NW  7 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  9 G17     LGT/VAR      NW  9 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            9 AM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 17                      NW 21        

DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   59 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS 14 TO 21. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. NOT AS COLD. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-271630-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1027 AM EST WED FEB 26 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLEAR        CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-9)   16-21 (-9)   40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-10)  69-74 (-5)   15-20        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  9                      NW  8 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  9 G17     LGT/VAR      NW  9 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 16                      NW 23        

DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   69 GOOD      

MAX LVORI             3                         2            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS 15 TO 20. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH

SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. NOT AS COLD. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-271630-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1027 AM EST WED FEB 26 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLEAR        CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-9)   12-17 (-12)  35-40        

RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-10)  67-72 (0)    19-24        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7                     W  9 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        LGT/VAR      NW 10 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 12                     W 22         

DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   75 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS 11 TO 20. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH

IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF RAIN. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-271630-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1027 AM EST WED FEB 26 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLEAR        CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-11)  15-20 (-9)   37-42        

RH % (24H TREND)      23-28 (-10)  60-65 (-5)   16-21        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  8                      W  7 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7         LGT/VAR      NW  9 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            9 AM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 13                      W 20         

DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   70 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS 13 TO 22. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. NOT AS COLD. LOWS

IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-271630-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1027 AM EST WED FEB 26 2014 /927 AM CST WED FEB 26 2014/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLEAR        CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-11)  16-21 (-9)   40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      21-26 (-15)  62-67 (-2)   14-19        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N 11 G18                  NW  7 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  9 G16     NW  6        NW  9 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 17                      NW 20        

DISPERSION            50 GEN GOOD               67 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS 16 TO 22. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. NOT AS COLD. LOWS

IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 



$$













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