

607 

FNUS54 KMRX 252006

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

306 PM EST TUE FEB 25 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 

OVERNIGHT. LIMITED MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL RESULT 

IN RELATIVELY MEAGER SNOWFALL AMOUNTS. TENNESSEE VALLEY LOCATIONS 

WILL SEE AMOUNTS RANGING FROM FLURRIES IN THE SOUTH TO A LIGHT 

DUSTING IN THE NORTH. ALONG SOME OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN AREAS UP TO 

AN INCH WILL BE POSSIBLE. TEMPERATURES WILL DROP BELOW SEASONAL 

NORMALS STARTING TOMORROW WITH HIGHS RANGING FROM THE MID 30S TO 

LOWER 40S ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. A GRADUAL WARMING TREND WILL 

BEGIN THURSDAY AFTERNOON. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-262115-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

306 PM EST TUE FEB 25 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        CLEAR        CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (-4)   27-32 (-15)  12-17        33-38        

RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (+15)  28-33 (-5)   61-66        13-18        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 10                     W 12 G26     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  7        LGT/VAR      NW 14 G27    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     W 29         

DISPERSION                         38 FAIR                   111 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 10 TO 17. NORTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF RAIN. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. WARMER. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-262115-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

306 PM EST TUE FEB 25 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLEAR        CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (-3)   26-31 (-16)  11-16        34-39        

RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (+9)   30-35 (-5)   68-73        12-17        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 11 G20                 W 13 G29     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  9 G16    W  5         NW 17 G31    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 18                     W 26         

DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   84 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 11 TO 18. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE 20S TO

LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-262115-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

306 PM EST TUE FEB 25 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        CLEAR        CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (-2)   29-34 (-15)  12-17        36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (+4)   32-37 (-5)   68-73        10-15        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 10 G19                  W  9 G22     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        LGT/VAR      NW 13 G23    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 14                     NW 15        

DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               39 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 9 TO 21. NORTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. WARMER. LOWS AROUND 40.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-262115-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

306 PM EST TUE FEB 25 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        CLEAR        CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-2)   34-39 (-13)  15-20        41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (+4)   29-34 (-9)   71-76        11-16        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 10 G17                  NW  6 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  8 G15     LGT/VAR      NW 11 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   9 AM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 16                      NW 16        

DISPERSION                         36 FAIR                   51 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 16 TO 22. NORTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-262115-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

306 PM EST TUE FEB 25 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLEAR        CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (0)    35-40 (-12)  16-21        41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (+4)   29-34 (-10)  71-76        10-15        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  9                      NW  8 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  7         LGT/VAR      NW 13 G22    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 16                      NW 17        

DISPERSION                         36 FAIR                   55 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          3                         2            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 17 TO 22. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE

EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-262115-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

306 PM EST TUE FEB 25 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        CLEAR        CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (-3)   29-34 (-15)  13-18        36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (+8)   29-34 (-6)   69-74        14-19        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9                     W 10 G23     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  7        LGT/VAR      NW 13 G24    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 13                     W 22         

DISPERSION                         36 FAIR                   78 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 12 TO 20. NORTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. WARMER. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-262115-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

306 PM EST TUE FEB 25 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        CLEAR        CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (-5)   31-36 (-15)  15-20        38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (+12)  26-31 (-7)   61-66        10-15        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  9                      W  8 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        LGT/VAR      NW 11 G21    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   9 AM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 13                      NW 17        

DISPERSION                         37 FAIR                   61 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 14 TO 22. NORTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. WARMER. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-262115-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

306 PM EST TUE FEB 25 2014 /206 PM CST TUE FEB 25 2014/



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        CLEAR        CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-6)   34-39 (-14)  16-21        42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (+11)  25-30 (-11)  62-67        11-16        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 10 G17                  W  6 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         N  7         NW  5        NW 10 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   9 AM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 15                      NW 20        

DISPERSION                         46 GEN GOOD               67 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 17 TO 23. NORTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS NEAR 50.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S TO MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$













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