

047 

FNUS54 KMRX 250833

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

333 AM EST TUE FEB 25 2014



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES OVER THE REGION TODAY WITH SLIGHTLY BELOW 

NORMAL TEMPERATURES. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE 

SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS TONIGHT...BRINGING A CHANCE OF SNOW TO SOME 

AREAS LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY. MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES 

WILL LINGER OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-260945-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

333 AM EST TUE FEB 25 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-3)   22-27 (-4)   28-33        

RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (+5)   73-78 (+16)  28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW         SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           50           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.08         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 14                     NW 13        

DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   42 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS 12 TO 17. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 14 TO 19. NORTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S

TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-260945-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

333 AM EST TUE FEB 25 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-1)   23-28 (-2)   28-33        

RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (+4)   79-84 (+18)  31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6 G15                  NW  8        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7 G16    LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           50           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.07         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 20                     NW 17        

DISPERSION            50 GEN GOOD               54 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS 11 TO 18. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 13 TO 20. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-260945-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

333 AM EST TUE FEB 25 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (-1)   24-29 (-1)   29-34        

RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (+8)   77-82 (+12)  28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           40           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.06         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 14                     NW 12        

DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS 9 TO 20. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 11 TO 23. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-260945-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

333 AM EST TUE FEB 25 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-2)   27-32 (0)    36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (+10)  75-80 (+8)   23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  8 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      N  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   10 AM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 12                     N 14         

DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   43 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS 14 TO 20. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 24. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-260945-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

333 AM EST TUE FEB 25 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-3)   27-32 (+2)   37-42        

RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (+10)  78-83 (+9)   23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     N  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   10 AM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 16                     N 14         

DISPERSION            41 GEN GOOD               43 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI             2                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS 15 TO 20. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 19 TO 24. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-260945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

333 AM EST TUE FEB 25 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (-2)   25-30 (-2)   32-37        

RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (+6)   79-84 (+19)  28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           40           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.06         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 12                     NW 10        

DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   38 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS 11 TO 19. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 13 TO 21. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-260945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

333 AM EST TUE FEB 25 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (-2)   23-28 (-6)   33-38        

RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (+3)   75-80 (+14)  24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   10 AM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  9                     NW 10        

DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   35 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS 14 TO 20. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 24. NORTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO

LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN

THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-260945-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

333 AM EST TUE FEB 25 2014 /233 AM CST TUE FEB 25 2014/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-2)   25-30 (-6)   36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (+5)   73-78 (+11)  21-26        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  9 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         N  5         N  8 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       11 PM                     

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  8                     N 13         

DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   42 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS 14 TO 21. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 25. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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