

175 

FNUS54 KMRX 250142 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

842 PM EST MON FEB 24 2014



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES OVER THE REGION TONIGHT AND TUESDAY WITH 

SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE 

THROUGH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS TUESDAY NIGHT...BRINGING A CHANCE 

OF SNOW TUESDAY NIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY AND USHER IN WELL BELOW 

NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-260245-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

842 PM EST MON FEB 24 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (-3)   42-47 (-1)   22-27        26-31        

RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (-10)  33-38 (+6)   71-76        28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW 11 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SNOW         SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           60           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM        10 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         4 PM         CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.09         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 15                      NW 14        

DISPERSION                         41 GEN GOOD               51 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS 10 TO 16. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 23. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER

50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-260245-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

842 PM EST MON FEB 24 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (-6)   42-47 (0)    24-29        27-32        

RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (-7)   36-41 (+9)   79-84        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      NW 13 G23    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  7 G15    LGT/VAR      NW 10 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           60           50           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM        10 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         5 PM         CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.10         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      7000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 20                      NW 14        

DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   51 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 10 TO 17. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 23. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER

50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-260245-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

842 PM EST MON FEB 24 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (-4)   44-49 (-1)   24-29        29-34        

RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (-4)   34-39 (+10)  73-78        25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     NW  9 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           60           40           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM        10 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         5 PM         CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.10         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      NW 10        

DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 8 TO 19. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 23. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO

MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-260245-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

842 PM EST MON FEB 24 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-2)   47-52 (-4)   27-32        35-40        

RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (-1)   34-39 (+12)  76-81        22-27        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N 11 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  5         N  5         N  8         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           50           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM        10 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         5 PM         CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.12         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 13                      N 14         

DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   45 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS 12 TO 18. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S

TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-260245-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

842 PM EST MON FEB 24 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (0)    47-52 (-6)   26-31        36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (+2)   34-39 (+13)  81-86        21-26        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     N 11 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  5        LGT/VAR      NW  9        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           50           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM        10 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         5 PM         CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.13         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      N 13         

DISPERSION                         36 FAIR                   42 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          3                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS 13 TO 18. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S

TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-260245-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

842 PM EST MON FEB 24 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-5)   45-50 (-1)   25-30        31-36        

RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (-4)   34-39 (+9)   78-83        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  9 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  5        LGT/VAR      NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           50           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM        10 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         5 PM         CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.08         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      NW 12        

DISPERSION                         41 GEN GOOD               49 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS 10 TO 18. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 23. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER

50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-260245-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

842 PM EST MON FEB 24 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-4)   46-51 (-2)   24-29        32-37        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (-5)   33-38 (+8)   72-77        26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  9 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  6         LGT/VAR      NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           50           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       9 AM         10 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         4 PM         CONTINUING   10 AM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.07         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     N 13         

DISPERSION                         35 FAIR                   47 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS 13 TO 19. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 19 TO 25. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S

TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-260245-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

842 PM EST MON FEB 24 2014 /742 PM CST MON FEB 24 2014/



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-3)   48-53 (-3)   27-32        35-40        

RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (-7)   34-39 (+11)  68-73        23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N 10 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  5         N  7         N  7 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           50           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM        10 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         3 PM         CONTINUING   10 AM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.10         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 10                     N 17         

DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   63 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS 14 TO 20. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S

TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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