

951 

FNUS54 KMRX 231952

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

250 PM EST SUN FEB 23 2014



...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES EXPECTED ON MONDAY AFTERNOON...



.DISCUSSION...

A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 

TONIGHT...BRINGING SOME LIGHT RAIN OR LIGHT SNOW ACROSS SOUTHWEST 

VIRGINIA AND NORTHEAST TENNESSEE. TEMPERATURES ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY 

WILL BE CLOSER TO NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. A STRONGER COLD 

FRONT WILL THEN MOVE THROUGH THE AREA ON TUESDAY NIGHT...BRINGING A 

CHANCE OF SNOW TUESDAY NIGHT AND BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR 

WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-242045-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

250 PM EST SUN FEB 23 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-1)   47-52 (-14)  25-30        47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (-1)   26-31 (-4)   67-72        30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         NW  8 G16    LGT/VAR      NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   7 AM         

PRECIP END            7 AM                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     W 13         

DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE 

20S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE MID 

20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR AND COLDER. LOWS 10 TO 15. SOUTHWEST WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. 

HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-242045-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

250 PM EST SUN FEB 23 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-4)   46-51 (-13)  24-29        46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (+15)  27-32 (0)    71-76        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G17                 W  6 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  9 G19    LGT/VAR      NW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            

PRECIP BEGIN          10 PM                                  7 AM         

PRECIP END            7 AM                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 20                     W 20         

DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   34 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE 

MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO 

LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS 10 TO 15. WEST WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE 

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-242045-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

250 PM EST SUN FEB 23 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-10)  45-50 (-15)  25-30        46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (+25)  30-35 (+5)   75-80        37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      W  5 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  5         LGT/VAR      NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            

PRECIP BEGIN          10 PM                                  7 AM         

PRECIP END            7 AM                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.10         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     W 18         

DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE 

LOWER 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 

20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR AND COLDER. LOWS 8 TO 17. WEST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE 20S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. 

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO 

LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-242045-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

250 PM EST SUN FEB 23 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-12)  49-54 (-16)  27-32        50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (+25)  29-34 (+6)   84-89        37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  7                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  7         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.11         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 15                      W 14         

DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   21 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE 

MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S. 

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR AND COLDER. LOWS IN THE TEENS. NORTH WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-242045-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

250 PM EST SUN FEB 23 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-4)   49-54 (-15)  26-31        50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (+2)   30-35 (+4)   86-91        42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  7                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  7        LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.13         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     W 17         

DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   27 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          3                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE 

MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR AND COLDER. LOWS IN THE TEENS. NORTH WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 

30S. HIGHS NEAR 50. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-242045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

250 PM EST SUN FEB 23 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-2)   49-54 (-14)  26-31        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (+4)   26-31 (-2)   68-73        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   7 AM         

PRECIP END            7 AM                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 13                     W 13         

DISPERSION                         35 FAIR                   37 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE 

MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR AND COLDER. LOWS 11 TO 16. SOUTHWEST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-242045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

250 PM EST SUN FEB 23 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-6)   49-54 (-15)  27-32        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (+13)  26-31 (-3)   72-77        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   7 AM         

PRECIP END            1 AM                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 12                      W 12         

DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   32 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR AND COLDER. LOWS IN THE TEENS. WEST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 

TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-242045-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

250 PM EST SUN FEB 23 2014 /150 PM CST SUN FEB 23 2014/



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-8)   51-56 (-15)  28-33        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (+15)  28-33 (+1)   83-88        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  7                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NE  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 13                      NW 12        

DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   25 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE 

MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S. 

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR AND COLDER. LOWS IN THE TEENS. NORTHWEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$







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