

148 

FNUS54 KMRX 230143 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

843 PM EST SAT FEB 22 2014



.DISCUSSION...

ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE OVER THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION ON SUNDAY...BEFORE A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVES 

THROUGH THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT. A STRONGER COLD FRONT WILL THEN MOVE 

THROUGH THE REGION ON TUESDAY NIGHT...BRINGING BELOW NORMAL 

TEMPERATURES FOR WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-240245-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

843 PM EST SAT FEB 22 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+6)   58-63 (0)    26-31        44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (-6)   34-39 (+14)  80-85        23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G15                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         SW  9 G16    LGT/VAR      NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                                 1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM                      

PRECIP END                                      7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 20                     NW 16        

DISPERSION                         49 GEN GOOD               25 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. COLDER.

LOWS 18 TO 29. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. HIGHS

IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-240245-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

843 PM EST SAT FEB 22 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (+2)   56-61 (0)    28-33        45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (-5)   33-38 (+13)  84-89        25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G16                 NW  9 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G18     W  8 G15     NW  5        NW  7 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    10 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   10 AM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 20                      NW 20        

DISPERSION                         35 FAIR                   17 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN

THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. HIGHS

IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-240245-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

843 PM EST SAT FEB 22 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+2)   56-61 (0)    30-35        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (0)    33-38 (+14)  85-90        24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G17                 N  6 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G19     W  9 G16     LGT/VAR      NW  7 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    10 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   10 AM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 21                     NW 15        

DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   9 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. COLDER.

LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. HIGHS

IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-240245-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

843 PM EST SAT FEB 22 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+4)   60-65 (0)    31-36        53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (-5)   33-38 (+15)  85-90        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7                     N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G17     SW  7        LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            10           0            

PRECIP DURATION                                 1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                                    4 AM                      

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 16                     NW 13        

DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   11 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID

50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. HIGHS

IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-240245-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

843 PM EST SAT FEB 22 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+5)   59-64 (0)    32-37        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (-17)  32-37 (+14)  86-91        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7        SW  7        LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      NW 15        

DISPERSION                         37 FAIR                   17 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI                          3                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. HIGHS

IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-240245-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

843 PM EST SAT FEB 22 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+4)   59-64 (0)    29-34        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (-2)   33-38 (+13)  78-83        26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  8        LGT/VAR      N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                                 1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                                    10 PM                     

PRECIP END                                      7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 18                     NW 12        

DISPERSION                         50 GEN GOOD               23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS NEAR 50.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN

THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. HIGHS

IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-240245-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

843 PM EST SAT FEB 22 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+7)   60-65 (0)    29-34        50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (+1)   34-39 (+14)  77-82        25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  7        NW  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                                 1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM                      

PRECIP END                                      4 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 16                     N 12         

DISPERSION                         49 GEN GOOD               22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. COLDER.

LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. HIGHS

IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-240245-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

843 PM EST SAT FEB 22 2014 /743 PM CST SAT FEB 22 2014/



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+7)   62-67 (0)    32-37        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (-4)   33-38 (+14)  79-84        33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     N  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         SW  6        NW  5        N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 15                     N 12         

DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               19 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. COLDER.

LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. HIGHS

IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













