

799 

FNUS54 KMRX 212023

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

325 PM EST FRI FEB 21 2014



...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES EXPECTED SATURDAY AFTERNOON...



.DISCUSSION...

A DRY AND TRANQUIL WEATHER PATTERN WILL LINGER OVER THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED 

TO REMAIN NEAR NORMAL THROUGH TUESDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-222115-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

325 PM EST FRI FEB 21 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-13)  56-61 (+6)   34-39        56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (-31)  22-27 (-9)   59-64        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G16                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6 G15    SW  9 G16    LGT/VAR      W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 20                      SW 24        

DISPERSION                         40 FAIR                   70 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE 

MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTHWEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN 

THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS 

AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 30S. WEST 

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-222115-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

325 PM EST FRI FEB 21 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-16)  55-60 (+6)   33-38        55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (-36)  22-27 (-7)   61-66        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G20     SW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  8        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 15                      W 21         

DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               39 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE 

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 

LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN 

THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS 

AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 

20 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE 30S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO 

LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-222115-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

325 PM EST FRI FEB 21 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-8)   55-60 (+7)   30-35        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (-33)  22-27 (-5)   66-71        25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  9                      SW 22        

DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE 

LOWER TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN 

THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS 

AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 

15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO 

LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-222115-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

325 PM EST FRI FEB 21 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-10)  58-63 (+7)   29-34        60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (-33)  21-26 (-7)   83-88        29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  7 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  9                     SW 18        

DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               42 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 

MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 

TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN 

THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. COLDER. 

LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST 

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-222115-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

325 PM EST FRI FEB 21 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (-16)  57-62 (+7)   28-33        60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (-33)  21-26 (-8)   83-88        25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR      W  7 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  9                      SW 18        

DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               46 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          2                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 

MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN 

THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. COLDER. 

LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST 

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S 

TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-222115-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

325 PM EST FRI FEB 21 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-13)  58-63 (+6)   32-37        59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (-29)  22-27 (-7)   69-74        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        SW  5        LGT/VAR      W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      SW 22        

DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   60 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE 

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 

LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. 

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN 

THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS 

AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO 

LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S 

TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-222115-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

325 PM EST FRI FEB 21 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-8)   58-63 (+6)   34-39        60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (-23)  22-27 (-7)   72-77        33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        LGT/VAR      W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 14                     SW 21        

DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   66 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN 

THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS 

AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-222115-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

325 PM EST FRI FEB 21 2014 /225 PM CST FRI FEB 21 2014/



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-8)   61-66 (+7)   34-39        61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (-26)  22-27 (-4)   77-82        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  9                     SW 18        

DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   57 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 

30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 

MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN 

THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. COLDER. 

LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 

TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S 

TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$







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