

018 

FNUS54 KMRX 210852

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

352 AM EST FRI FEB 21 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WITH A STRONG WIND FIELD MOVES EAST OF THE APPALACHIANS 

EARLY THIS MORNING...ENDING THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHER 

PRESSURE BUILDS IN TODAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH TEMPERATURES STILL 

SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL BEHIND THE FRONT AND SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE

NORMAL SATURDAY AND SUNDAY AFTERNOONS. 



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-221000-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

352 AM EST FRI FEB 21 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-18)  26-31 (-17)  55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      24-29 (-22)  76-81 (-3)   24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 12 G23                  SW  8 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G25     LGT/VAR      SW  9        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            11 AM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 26                      SW 16        

DISPERSION            94 GOOD                   51 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER

40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-221000-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

352 AM EST FRI FEB 21 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-18)  26-31 (-19)  53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      24-29 (-21)  69-74 (-6)   25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 13 G25                  W  7 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G26     W  5         SW  6 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            11 AM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 30                      W 13         

DISPERSION            82 GOOD                   31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER

50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-221000-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

352 AM EST FRI FEB 21 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-16)  26-31 (-16)  53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      20-25 (-31)  67-72 (-10)  24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 11 G21                  W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G24     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            11 AM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 24                      SW  8        

DISPERSION            58 GEN GOOD               16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID

30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER

TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-221000-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

352 AM EST FRI FEB 21 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-14)  26-31 (-17)  57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      19-24 (-34)  77-82 (-5)   26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6 G16                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G18     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            9 AM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      S  5         

DISPERSION            52 GEN GOOD               10 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-221000-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

352 AM EST FRI FEB 21 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (-13)  24-29 (-20)  57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      19-24 (-34)  82-87 (-4)   27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7 G16                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G19     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            11 AM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 22                     SW  3        

DISPERSION            58 GEN GOOD               10 POOR      

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-221000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

352 AM EST FRI FEB 21 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-17)  24-29 (-21)  56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      23-28 (-23)  78-83 (+2)   27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 12 G21                 SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 12 G24    LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            11 AM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 23                      SW 13        

DISPERSION            83 GOOD                   32 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER

50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-221000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

352 AM EST FRI FEB 21 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-15)  28-33 (-13)  58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      21-26 (-34)  73-78 (-13)  26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G20                  SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G20     LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 21                      SW 10        

DISPERSION            75 GOOD                   29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID

50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-221000-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

352 AM EST FRI FEB 21 2014 /252 AM CST FRI FEB 21 2014/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (-14)  28-33 (-13)  60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      21-26 (-38)  77-82 (-10)  25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G19                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G18     LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 17                      S  8         

DISPERSION            58 GEN GOOD               22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER

50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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