

322 

FNUS54 KMRX 202031

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

330 PM EST THU FEB 20 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WITH A STRONG WIND FIELD WILL MOVE ACROSS THE TENNESSEE 

RIVER VALLEY TONIGHT...BRINGING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH 

DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES POSSIBLE. TEMPERATURES BEHIND 

THIS COLD FRONT WILL REMAIN SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE 

WEEKEND.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-212130-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

330 PM EST THU FEB 20 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+4)   51-56 (-19)  27-32        55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-6)   30-35 (-16)  67-72        24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 13 G24                  SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 14 G28     W 14 G25     LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 AM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.59         0.12         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   5            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 30                      SW 17        

DISPERSION                         84 GOOD                   28 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN 

THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN 

THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO 

LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S 

TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-212130-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

330 PM EST THU FEB 20 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+3)   50-55 (-18)  26-31        53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-11)  30-35 (-15)  65-70        25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 14 G28                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 17 G35     W 15 G29     LGT/VAR      W  8 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 AM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.54         0.25         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   5            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 32                      SW 15        

DISPERSION                         61 GOOD                   14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHWEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN 

THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN 

THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 

15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S 

TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-212130-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

330 PM EST THU FEB 20 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-4)   49-54 (-16)  28-33        53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-7)   30-35 (-21)  61-66        24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 13 G26                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 21 G45     W 12 G27     LGT/VAR      W  7 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 AM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.93         0.05         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   5            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 28                      SW 13        

DISPERSION                         42 GEN GOOD               11 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN 

THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S 

TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S 

TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-212130-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

330 PM EST THU FEB 20 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-8)   52-57 (-16)  27-32        57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-10)  29-34 (-24)  71-76        26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G20                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 19 G36     W 10 G20     LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           50           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 AM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         1.15         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   5            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 23                      SW 12        

DISPERSION                         51 GEN GOOD               15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN 

THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-212130-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

330 PM EST THU FEB 20 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (-4)   51-56 (-17)  25-30        56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (-18)  30-35 (-23)  73-78        28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 10 G21                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 16 G31     W 11 G22     LGT/VAR      W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 AM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         1.04         0.05         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   5            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 25                     SW 12        

DISPERSION                         55 GEN GOOD               17 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI                          3                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN 

THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-212130-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

330 PM EST THU FEB 20 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (0)    53-58 (-18)  24-29        56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (-1)   31-36 (-15)  76-81        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 12 G24                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 13 G26     W 13 G24     LGT/VAR      W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          50           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 AM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.70         0.10         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   5            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 28                      SW 14        

DISPERSION                         84 GOOD                   21 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN 

THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-212130-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

330 PM EST THU FEB 20 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-5)   53-58 (-16)  29-34        58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+5)   28-33 (-27)  68-73        26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 11 G22                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 17 G33     W 11 G23     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 AM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.93         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   5            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 25                      SW 14        

DISPERSION                         75 GOOD                   26 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S. LIGHT 

WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN 

THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-212130-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

330 PM EST THU FEB 20 2014 /230 PM CST THU FEB 20 2014/



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-10)  54-59 (-15)  29-34        61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-7)   28-33 (-31)  72-77        25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G21                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 17 G30     W  9 G19     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 AM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         1.04         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   5            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 24                      SW 12        

DISPERSION                         71 GOOD                   23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 

LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. NORTH 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 30. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$







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