

646 

FNUS54 KMRX 192026

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

326 PM EST WED FEB 19 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA...WITH 

SCATTERED SHOWERS DEVELOPING TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. ANOTHER 

STRONGER COLD FRONT APPROACHES THURSDAY...BRINGING A GREATER CHANCE 

FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-202130-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

326 PM EST WED FEB 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+3)   62-67 (+1)   40-45        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-13)  47-52 (+10)  86-91        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  9 G22                 W 10 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 15 G29     S 16 G30     W 10 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           100          40           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.73         0.07         

LAL                   1            1            5            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 26                      W 23         

DISPERSION                         66 GOOD                   52 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-202130-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

326 PM EST WED FEB 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+2)   61-66 (-2)   40-45        46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-12)  46-51 (+7)   93-98        33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 10 G23                 W 12 G23     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 14 G26     S 18 G35     W 10 G23     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           90           60           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.07         0.52         0.18         

LAL                   1            1            5            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 23                      W 26         

DISPERSION                         58 GEN GOOD               44 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-202130-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

326 PM EST WED FEB 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+2)   62-67 (-2)   40-45        47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (-10)  48-53 (+8)   83-88        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 11 G31                  W  8 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 19 G36     S 23 G47     W  7 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           100          60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.07         0.91         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            5            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 24                      W 18         

DISPERSION                         53 GEN GOOD               27 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-202130-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

326 PM EST WED FEB 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+2)   66-71 (0)    43-48        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (0)    54-59 (+3)   77-82        26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 11 G26                  NW  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 17 G31     S 20 G38     W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           100          40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            4            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.07         1.07         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            5            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 31                      NW 16        

DISPERSION                         95 GOOD                   36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-202130-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

326 PM EST WED FEB 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+3)   67-72 (+2)   44-49        51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-4)   54-59 (+1)   76-81        24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  9 G22                  NW  9 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 15 G26     S 16 G30     NW  7 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           100          60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.06         0.88         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            5            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 28                      NW 20        

DISPERSION                         92 GOOD                   42 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          4                         1            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-202130-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

326 PM EST WED FEB 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+2)   66-71 (+1)   42-47        50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-9)   43-48 (+5)   85-90        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G20                  W  9 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 15 G26     S 15 G28     W  8 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           100          50           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.79         0.07         

LAL                   1            1            5            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 23                      W 18         

DISPERSION                         76 GOOD                   51 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-202130-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

326 PM EST WED FEB 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+1)   66-71 (0)    40-45        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-3)   48-53 (+9)   81-86        29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 10 G26                  W  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 18 G32     S 19 G33     W  6 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           20           100          20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.04         1.14         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            5            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 33                      W 16         

DISPERSION                         108 VERY GOOD             47 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-202130-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

326 PM EST WED FEB 19 2014 /226 PM CST WED FEB 19 2014/



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-1)   68-73 (0)    40-45        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+9)   52-57 (+8)   81-86        26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 10 G26                  NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 18 G30     S 18 G32     W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           100          0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            5                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.06         1.31         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            5            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 36                      NW 14        

DISPERSION                         120 VERY GOOD             44 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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