

961 

FNUS54 KMRX 180844

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

344 AM EST TUE FEB 18 2014



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION TODAY CREATING 

DRY WEATHER THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AHEAD OF A COLD 

FRONT WILL BRING ABOVE NORMAL HIGH TEMPERATURES AGAIN. SCATTERED 

SHOWERS SHOULD DEVELOP BY LATE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY...AS THE COLD 

FRONT MOVES SOUTHEAST INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-190945-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

344 AM EST TUE FEB 18 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+5)   38-43 (+5)   54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-18)  95-100 (+21) 40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     W  7 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6 G16     W  8 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.12         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     W 29         

DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   52 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO

THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. COLDER.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-190945-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

344 AM EST TUE FEB 18 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+4)   37-42 (+3)   51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      23-28 (-14)  90-95 (+21)  45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6 G15                 W  9 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        S  8 G20     W  8 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.11         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      W 31         

DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SCATTERED

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

10 TO 20 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-190945-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

344 AM EST TUE FEB 18 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+3)   40-45 (+7)   52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      21-26 (-14)  86-91 (+19)  42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  9 G21     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        S  9 G25     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.31         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     W 26         

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.

COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO

25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 10 TO 20 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID

50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS

AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.



$$



TNZ087-102-190945-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

344 AM EST TUE FEB 18 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+4)   41-46 (+6)   58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      22-27 (-20)  95-100 (+23) 43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  7 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        S  8 G20     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.43         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 10                      W 21         

DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. COLDER.

LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH

SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-190945-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

344 AM EST TUE FEB 18 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+4)   40-45 (+5)   58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      21-26 (-17)  95-100 (+21) 46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        S  6         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.45         0.07         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     W 23         

DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   21 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.

COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO

15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S

TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-190945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

344 AM EST TUE FEB 18 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+5)   37-42 (+3)   57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-16)  95-100 (+23) 42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  7 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.15         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     W 25         

DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   56 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER

50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-190945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

344 AM EST TUE FEB 18 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+4)   41-46 (+9)   59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      24-29 (-18)  90-95 (+17)  37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         S  5 G17     NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.21         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 12                      W 20         

DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   46 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. COLDER.

LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH

SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID

50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-190945-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

344 AM EST TUE FEB 18 2014 /244 AM CST TUE FEB 18 2014/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+4)   45-50 (+11)  61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      21-26 (-19)  95-100 (+23) 39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  7 G17     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.29         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 10                      W 16         

DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   37 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. COLDER.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH

SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE

50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$













