

151 

FNUS54 KMRX 171510

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1010 AM EST MON FEB 17 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL GIVE WAY TO A COLD FRONT 

TONIGHT...WITH SHOWERS EXPECTED MAINLY THIS EVENING INTO EARLY 

TUESDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES BACK ACROSS THE REGION ON 

TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TO MUCH ABOVE NORMAL INTO MID WEEK. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-181615-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1010 AM EST MON FEB 17 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+6)   30-35 (+7)   54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-12)  89-94 (-7)   32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  8 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  8 G17    S 11 G20     SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           80           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            3                         

PRECIP BEGIN          4 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.11         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 15                      W 22         

DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               12 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-181615-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1010 AM EST MON FEB 17 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+5)   31-36 (+10)  52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-12)  95-100 (+6)  34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W 10 G21     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7        S  8 G17     W  5 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           80           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            4                         

PRECIP BEGIN          4 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.10         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 15                      W 24         

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   9 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO

MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-181615-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1010 AM EST MON FEB 17 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+3)   32-37 (+10)  53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-8)   95-100 (+8)  36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G16     SW  7 G15    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           80           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            3                         

PRECIP BEGIN          4 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.10         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     NW 14        

DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               4 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-181615-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1010 AM EST MON FEB 17 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+2)   33-38 (+9)   57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-1)   95-100 (+2)  30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8         SW  7        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           70           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            2                         

PRECIP BEGIN          4 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.10         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 18                      NW 10        

DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               3 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-181615-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1010 AM EST MON FEB 17 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+1)   32-37 (+10)  58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-3)   95-100 (+2)  29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         SW  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           80           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            3                         

PRECIP BEGIN          4 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.09         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 16                      NW 15        

DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               3 VERY POOR  

MAX LVORI             5                         9            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-181615-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1010 AM EST MON FEB 17 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+6)   31-36 (+10)  56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-8)   95-100 (-2)  31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G15     SW  8 G16    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           80           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            3                         

PRECIP BEGIN          4 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.11         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2700                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 14                      W 15         

DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-181615-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1010 AM EST MON FEB 17 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+5)   32-37 (+7)   57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+1)   87-92 (-9)   33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G17     SW  9 G17    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           70           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            2                         

PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.12         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2700                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 17                      NW  9        

DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   9 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS

IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-181615-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1010 AM EST MON FEB 17 2014 /910 AM CST MON FEB 17 2014/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+4)   33-38 (+7)   60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (+3)   88-93 (-7)   30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5 G18                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G20     W  9 G16     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           70           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            2                         

PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.10         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2700                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 20                      NW  7        

DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   8 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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