

494 

FNUS54 KMRX 161941

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

241 PM EST SUN FEB 16 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE OVER THE EASTERN 

THIRD OF THE NATION TONIGHT AND MONDAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL MOVE 

INTO THE AREA LATE MONDAY AND CONTINUE UNTIL EARLY TUESDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-172045-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

241 PM EST SUN FEB 16 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (+2)   46-51 (+7)   32-37        53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-9)   44-49 (-11)  88-93        44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  8 G18    S 11 G23     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           80           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1            5                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.19         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      2700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 13                     W  8         

DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   5 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-172045-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

241 PM EST SUN FEB 16 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (+3)   45-50 (+5)   32-37        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-7)   41-46 (-9)   92-97        45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7 G15    SE  7 G16    S 12 G26     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           70           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1            2                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.21         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 12                     W  9         

DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   3 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER

60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-172045-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

241 PM EST SUN FEB 16 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (+2)   48-53 (+3)   34-39        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-10)  31-36 (-11)  95-100       37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        S  8 G16     S 13 G33     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           70           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1            2                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.23         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 15                     SW  7        

DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               2 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO UP TO 10 MPH

IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO

UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-172045-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

241 PM EST SUN FEB 16 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (+1)   52-57 (+2)   36-41        59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+1)   41-46 (-2)   93-98        42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         S 10 G25     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SHOWERS      RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           70           10           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.22         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      2500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 16                      SW  3        

DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               1 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST

LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-172045-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

241 PM EST SUN FEB 16 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (+1)   53-58 (+1)   35-40        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (0)    34-39 (-6)   93-98        36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         S  7 G17     SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SHOWERS      RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           60           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.24         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      2500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 14                      SW  3        

DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               1 VERY POOR  

MAX LVORI                          4                         8            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING

TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS

IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-172045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

241 PM EST SUN FEB 16 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (0)    48-53 (+5)   34-39        56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (-2)   44-49 (-6)   89-94        45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  7         S  9 G20     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           80           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1            2                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.21         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2700                      2700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 10                      SW  5        

DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   4 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN

10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO

UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-172045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

241 PM EST SUN FEB 16 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (+1)   50-55 (+4)   35-40        56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-7)   46-51 (+2)   92-97        51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  7         SW  7 G18    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           70           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1            2                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.20         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2700                      2400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 16                      S  5         

DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               4 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-172045-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

241 PM EST SUN FEB 16 2014 /141 PM CST SUN FEB 16 2014/



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (0)    54-59 (+3)   37-42        59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+13)  44-49 (+4)   93-98        48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  7 G15     SW  7 G16    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           70           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1            2                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.17         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      2500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 17                      S  5         

DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   6 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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