

403 

FNUS54 KMRX 161502

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1002 AM EST SUN FEB 16 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE EASTERN 

THIRD OF THE NATION THIS AFTERNOON AND MONDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN

MOSTLY DRY WEATHER UNTIL MONDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE A FEW

DEGREES BELOW NORMAL TODAY...THEN WARM TO ABOUT 10 DEGREES ABOVE 

NORMAL BY TUESDAY.  





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-171615-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1002 AM EST SUN FEB 16 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+9)   21-26 (+1)   45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (-3)   88-93 (-8)   44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G16     LGT/VAR      SE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      1 PM         

PRECIP END            1 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 22                      SW 14        

DISPERSION            40 FAIR                   21 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER

60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-171615-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1002 AM EST SUN FEB 16 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+9)   21-26 (+2)   44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+4)   86-91 (-6)   40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6 G16                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G20    NW  7 G15    SE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      1 PM         

PRECIP END            1 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 28                      SW 13        

DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               20 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO

LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO

LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-171615-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1002 AM EST SUN FEB 16 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+8)   23-28 (+2)   47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+12)  83-88 (-9)   30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5 G15                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G18    LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 26                      SW 16        

DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               19 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER

60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-171615-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1002 AM EST SUN FEB 16 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+13)  25-30 (+1)   51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+7)   90-95 (0)    41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 20                      SW 16        

DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   27 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-171615-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1002 AM EST SUN FEB 16 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+12)  25-30 (+1)   52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (+10)  88-93 (-1)   34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 21                      SW 15        

DISPERSION            39 FAIR                   35 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-171615-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1002 AM EST SUN FEB 16 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+10)  20-25 (-1)   47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-1)   95-100 (0)   44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G15     LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      1 PM         

PRECIP END            10 AM                     CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 22                      SW 12        

DISPERSION            44 GEN GOOD               23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO

LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER

60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-171615-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1002 AM EST SUN FEB 16 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+13)  25-30 (+1)   49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-2)   87-92 (-8)   46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 21                      SW 16        

DISPERSION            49 GEN GOOD               34 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID

60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-171615-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1002 AM EST SUN FEB 16 2014 /902 AM CST SUN FEB 16 2014/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+16)  27-32 (0)    53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-2)   91-96 (+13)  43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 20                      S 17         

DISPERSION            44 GEN GOOD               38 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID

60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$













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