

133 

FNUS54 KMRX 150831

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

331 AM EST SAT FEB 15 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A MIX OF LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW WILL END THIS MORNING AS AN 

AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES NORTHEAST OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST. 

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTHEAST INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND 

SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS...BRINGING MOSTLY DRY WEATHER AND WARMER 

TEMPERATURES. 



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-160930-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

331 AM EST SAT FEB 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-13)  20-25 (-6)   38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (-15)  90-95 (+4)   54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 13 G22                 SW  7 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G20    LGT/VAR      W  8 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW         SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            2 PM         CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.01         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 25                     W 23         

DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               69 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID

60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-160930-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

331 AM EST SAT FEB 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-11)  19-24 (-7)   37-42        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-20)  79-84 (-1)   49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 16 G29                 W  8 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 14 G28    W  8 G20     W  8 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW         SNOW         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            2 PM         CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.01         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 30                     W 26         

DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   68 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-160930-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

331 AM EST SAT FEB 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-8)   20-25 (-2)   41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      24-29 (-37)  85-90 (-5)   43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  9 G22                 SW  7 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6 G15    SW  5        W  6 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           10           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         1 AM                      

PRECIP END            2 PM         7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 24                     W 25         

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               51 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER

60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-160930-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

331 AM EST SAT FEB 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-14)  21-26 (-5)   45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-28)  91-96 (-2)   45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  9 G19                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6 G16    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 24                      W 21         

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               52 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO

UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-160930-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

331 AM EST SAT FEB 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-14)  21-26 (-6)   46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      23-28 (-29)  90-95 (0)    40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 11 G21                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G19    LGT/VAR      NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 30                      W 22         

DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   65 GOOD      

MAX LVORI             3                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-160930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

331 AM EST SAT FEB 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-12)  20-25 (-9)   41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-17)  93-98 (+15)  52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 11 G21                 SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G18     LGT/VAR      W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         1 AM                      

PRECIP END            2 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 21                     W 22         

DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               72 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID

60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-160930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

331 AM EST SAT FEB 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-11)  24-29 (-3)   45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-23)  87-92 (+1)   45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8 G18                 SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW/FZ RA   NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         1 AM                      

PRECIP END            10 AM        7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 18                     W 21         

DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   68 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID

60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-160930-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

331 AM EST SAT FEB 15 2014 /231 AM CST SAT FEB 15 2014/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-13)  24-29 (-1)   48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-21)  86-91 (-2)   41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  9 G20                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2600                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 20                      W 21         

DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   57 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 40.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO

MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TG/TD









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